globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/agronomy9040210
WOS记录号: WOS:000467297100050
论文题名:
Grapevine Phenology of cv. Touriga Franca and Touriga Nacional in the Douro Wine Region: Modelling and Climate Change Projections
作者: Costa, Ricardo1; Fraga, Helder1; Fonseca, Andre1; de Cortazar-Atauri, Inaki Garcia2; Val, Maria C.3; Carlos, Cristina3; Reis, Samuel1; Santos, Joao A.1
通讯作者: Santos, Joao A.
刊名: AGRONOMY-BASEL
ISSN: 2073-4395
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:4
语种: 英语
英文关键词: grapevine ; phenology ; phenology modelling platform ; Touriga Franca ; Touriga Nacional ; climate change ; RCP4 ; 5 ; EURO-CORDEX ; Douro wine region ; Portugal
WOS关键词: BASE TEMPERATURES ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; FUTURE ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATION ; VARIETIES ; BUDBREAK ; VERAISON ; TRENDS ; YIELD
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Plant Sciences
英文摘要:

Projections of grapevine phenophases under future climate change scenarios are strategic decision support tools for viticulturists and wine producers. Several phenological models are tested for budburst, flowering, and veraison and for two main grapevine varieties (cv. Touriga Franca and Touriga Nacional) growing in the Douro Demarcated Region. Four forcing models (Growing degree-days, Richardson, Sigmoid, and Wang) and three dormancy models (Bidabe, Smoothed Utah and Chuine), with different parameterizations and combinations, are used. New datasets, combing phenology with weather station data, widespread over the Douro wine region, were used for this purpose. The eight best performing models and parameterizations were selected for each phenophase and variety, based on performance metrics. For both cultivars, results revealed moderate performances (0.4 < R-2 < 0.7) for budburst, while high performances (R-2 > 0.7) were found for flowering and veraison, particularly when Growing degree-days or Sigmoid models are used, respectively. Climate change projections were based on a two-member climate model ensemble from the EURO-CORDEX project under RCP4.5. Projections depicted an anticipation of phenophase timings by 6, 8 or 10-12 days until the end of the century for budburst, flowering, and veraison, respectively. The inter-model variability is of approximately 2-4 days for flowering and veraison and 4-6 days for budburst. These results establish grounds for the implementation of a decision support system for monitoring and short-term prediction of grapevine phenology, thus promoting a more efficient viticulture.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133181
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Tras Os Montes & Alto Douro, Ctr Res & Technol Agroenvironm & Biol Sci, CITAB, UTAD, P-5000801 Vila Real, Portugal
2.INRA, US1116 AgroClim, F-84914 Avignon, France
3.Assoc Desenvolvimento Viticultura Duriense, ADVID, Parque Ciencia Tecnol Vila Real Regia Douro Pk, P-5000033 Vila Real, Portugal

Recommended Citation:
Costa, Ricardo,Fraga, Helder,Fonseca, Andre,et al. Grapevine Phenology of cv. Touriga Franca and Touriga Nacional in the Douro Wine Region: Modelling and Climate Change Projections[J]. AGRONOMY-BASEL,2019-01-01,9(4)
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