globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1007/s10666-018-9617-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000465584000001
论文题名:
The Effects of Climate Change Impacts on Public Budgets and Implications of Fiscal Counterbalancing Instruments
作者: Bachner, Gabriel1; Bednar-Friedl, Birgit1,2
通讯作者: Bachner, Gabriel
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING & ASSESSMENT
ISSN: 1420-2026
EISSN: 1573-2967
出版年: 2019
卷: 24, 期:2, 页码:121-142
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Impacts ; Public finance ; Tax policy ; Policy analysis ; Computable general equilibrium
WOS关键词: POLICY ; TAXES
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Climate change impacts have manifold effects on public budgets. In this paper, we therefore use a computable general equilibrium framework to consistently analyze how both the expenditure and revenue side of public budgets are affected via climate change impacts in ten different impact fields in Austria by mid-century. We then investigate different options how reductions in public service provision can be counterbalanced by fiscal instruments or by foreign lending and the associated economy-wide effects. We find that without counterbalancing, climate change impacts on the government budgets are doubled when considering not only the direct effect on the expenditure side but also macroeconomic feedback effects which reduce the overall tax base. With counterbalancing, we find significant differences in budgetary and macroeconomic consequences across fiscal instruments. While an increase of the capital tax as well as a cut in transfers reduce the welfare losses of climate change, higher labor taxes amplify welfare losses. This is because higher labor taxes dis-incentivize employing labor, thereby increasing unemployment and unemployment payments by the government. A higher output tax also increases welfare losses, but less strongly than an increased labor tax. Finally, increased foreign lending reduces welfare losses twice as much as the cut in transfers or the increased capital tax in the short term, but leads to a higher deficit and government debt.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133362
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Wegener Ctr Climate & Global Change, Brandhofgasse 5, A-8010 Graz, Austria
2.Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Dept Econ, Univ Str 15-F4, A-8010 Graz, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Bachner, Gabriel,Bednar-Friedl, Birgit. The Effects of Climate Change Impacts on Public Budgets and Implications of Fiscal Counterbalancing Instruments[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MODELING & ASSESSMENT,2019-01-01,24(2):121-142
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