globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.2480/agrmet.D-18-00032
WOS记录号: WOS:000464151900002
论文题名:
Assessment of deterioration in skin color of table grape berries due to climate change and effects of two adaptation measures
作者: Sugiura, Toshihiko1; Shiraishi, Mikio2; Konno, Shohei1; Sato, Akihiko3
通讯作者: Sugiura, Toshihiko
刊名: JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0021-8588
EISSN: 1881-0136
出版年: 2019
卷: 75, 期:2, 页码:67-75
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Covered cultivation ; Full-flowering date ; Global warming ; Plastic greenhouse ; Poor skin color
WOS关键词: CALCIUM CYANAMIDE ; AIR-TEMPERATURE ; BUD BREAK ; IMPACT ; PREDICTION ; CALIFORNIA ; PHENOLOGY ; SCENARIOS ; QUALITY
WOS学科分类: Agriculture, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

We evaluated changes in skin color of table grapes induced by climate change and the effects of a phenological shift caused by cultivation under cover and the use of a superior-color cultivar as adaptation measures. To assess the phenological shift, a model to estimate full-flowering date from air temperature was developed from observed full-flowering dated in Japan. A projected air temperature dataset until 2100 with 1-km resolution was applied to this model and the model to estimate skin color developed in the previous report. The full-flowering date of `Kyoho' in open field gradually advanced and was about 9 days earlier in 2031-2050 and 10-25 days earlier in 2081-2100 than in 1981-2000. The skin color rating of `Kyoho' in open field decreased from 9.4 in 1981-2000 to 7.9 in 2031-2050 and to 7.0 in 2081-2100 under the representative concentration pathway 4.5 scenario. The difference in skin color under different emission scenarios increased from around 2040 until the end of this century. Geographical distribution of the frequency of occurrence of poor skin color (skin color rating < 7.5) showed that it will be necessary to introduce some adaptation measures for `Kyoho' in open field in the plains of most areas except northern Japan by the middle of this century. Because air temperature during the coloring period drops with advancing phenology, a larger phenological shift led to darker skin. The skin color rating of `Kyoho' at the end of this century remained above 7.5 owing to a phenological shift in plastic greenhouses with side film even in southern Japan. That of Suzuka', a superior-color cultivar, in plastic greenhouses without side film also remained above 7.5. A phenological shift or the use of a superior-colored cultivar would be effective as long-term adaptation measures.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133421
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.NARO, Inst Fruit Tree & Tea Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 3058605, Japan
2.Fukuoka Agr & Forestry Res Ctr, Fukuoka, Fukuoka 8188549, Japan
3.NARO, Grape & Persimmon Res Stn, Inst Fruit Tree & Tea Sci, Higashihiroshima, Hiroshima 7392494, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Sugiura, Toshihiko,Shiraishi, Mikio,Konno, Shohei,et al. Assessment of deterioration in skin color of table grape berries due to climate change and effects of two adaptation measures[J]. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL METEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,75(2):67-75
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