globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.11.045
WOS记录号: WOS:000463688200014
论文题名:
From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning
作者: Handayani, Kamia1,2; Krozer, Yoram1; Filatova, Tatiana1,3
通讯作者: Handayani, Kamia
刊名: ENERGY POLICY
ISSN: 0301-4215
EISSN: 1873-6777
出版年: 2019
卷: 127, 页码:134-146
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Renewable energy ; Technological learning ; LEAP ; Climate change mitigation ; Indonesia
WOS关键词: ENERGY ; GENERATION ; MITIGATION ; RATES ; FUTURE ; SYSTEM ; SECTOR
WOS学科分类: Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

This study analyses a diffusion of renewable energy in an electricity system accounting for technological learning. We explore long-term scenarios for capacity expansion of the Java-Bali electricity system in Indonesia, considering the country's renewable energy targets. We apply the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) model with an integration of technological learning. Our results reveal that, at the medium and high pace of technological learning, the total costs of electricity production to achieve the long-term renewable energy target are 4-10% lower than the scenario without considering technological learning. With respect to technology, solar PV and wind become competitive with other types of renewables and nuclear. Moreover, the fulfilment of the renewable energy targets decreases CO2 emissions by 25% compared to the reference scenario. Implications of our results indicate that energy policies should focus on the early deployment of renewables, upgrading the grid capacity to accommodate variable renewable energy, and enabling faster local learning.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133457
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Twente, Dept Governance & Technol Sustainabil, POB 217, NL-7500 AE Enschede, Netherlands
2.PT PLN Persero, Jl Trunojoyo Blok MI-135 Kebayoran Baru, Jakarta, Indonesia
3.Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Informat Syst & Modelling, POB 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Handayani, Kamia,Krozer, Yoram,Filatova, Tatiana. From fossil fuels to renewables: An analysis of long-term scenarios considering technological learning[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2019-01-01,127:134-146
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