globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.186
WOS记录号: WOS:000462690100026
论文题名:
Coupling partial-equilibrium and dynamic biogenic carbon models to assess future transport scenarios in France
作者: Albers, Ariane1,2,3; Collet, Pierre1; Lorne, Daphne1; Benoist, Anthony3,4; Helias, Arnaud2,3,5
通讯作者: Albers, Ariane
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 239, 页码:316-330
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biogenic carbon ; Climate change mitigation ; Time-dynamic LCA ; Transport sector ; Partial-equilibrium model
WOS关键词: LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; BIOMASS SUPPLY CHAINS ; IMPACT ASSESSMENT ; CLIMATE IMPACTS ; SYSTEM BOUNDARIES ; BIOENERGY SYSTEMS ; TEMPORARY-STORAGE ; CONSEQUENTIAL LCA ; FOREST RESIDUES ; KEY ISSUES
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

Bioenergy systems are promoted in an effort to mitigate climate change, and policies are defined accordingly to be implemented in the coming decades. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is used to assess the environmental performance of bioenergy systems, yet subject to the limitations of static approaches. In classical LCA, no temporal differentiation is undertaken: all inventoried instant to long-term greenhouse gases emissions (GHG) are aggregated and characterised in the same way, over a fixed time horizon, by means of fixed characterisation factors. Positive and negative impact contributions of dynamic biogenic carbon (C-bio) sum up to zero, yielding the same result as carbon neutral estimates. Climate mitigation results are biased without the temporal consideration of these flows. The purpose of the study is to highlight the time-sensitive potential climatic consequences of policy-driven transport strategies for metropolitan France, in the specific context of the dynamic LCA framework and climate change mitigation. We therefore propose a dynamic approach coupling a partial equilibrium model (PEM) with dynamic C-bio models. The PEM analyses in detail the techno-economic performance of the metropolitan French energy-transport sector. It explores prospective optimization options (supply demand equilibrium) of emerging commodity and energy process pathways in response to a policy in question. The C-bio model generates dynamic inventories of the C-bio embedded in the primary renewable biomass outputs of the PEM. It captures the dynamic C-bio exchange flows between the atmosphere and the technosphere over time: negative emissions from fixation (sequestration) and positive emissions from release (e.g. combustion or decay). A dynamic impact method is applied to evaluate the mitigation effects of C-bio from forest wood residues by comparing the climate change impacts from complete carbon (fossil + biogenic) with carbon neutral inventories across scenarios. Two sets of results are computed concerning the overall transport (all emissions) and bioethanol (wood-to-fuel emissions) systems. The mitigation effect from long-term historic sequestration allocated to bioethanol (462%) is significantly larger than for transport (3%), expressed as the difference with carbon neutral estimates. The fossil-sourced emissions from bioethanol production represents only 5.4%. In contrast, a comparison with an alternative reference scenario involving wood decay demonstrated higher impacts (i.e. an increase of 316%) than carbon neutral estimates. The representation of the actual climatic consequences depends on the chosen fixed end-year of the dynamic impact assessment. Moreover, the mitigation effect is proven sensitive to the rotation length of forestry wood: the shorter the length the lower the mitigation from using renewable forest resources. Other energy-policy scenarios, C-bio modelling approaches and consequences of indirect effects should be further studied and contrasted.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133485
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.IFP Energies Nouvelles, 1&4 Ave Bois Preau, F-92852 Rueil Malmaison, France
2.UNIV Montpellier, INRA, Montpellier SupAgro, LBE, Narbonne, France
3.Res Grp Environm Lifecycle & Sustainabil Assessme, Elsa, Montpellier, France
4.CIRAD UPR BioWooEB, Ave Agropolis, F-34398 Montpellier, France
5.Tech Univ Berlin, Chair Sustainable Engn, Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Albers, Ariane,Collet, Pierre,Lorne, Daphne,et al. Coupling partial-equilibrium and dynamic biogenic carbon models to assess future transport scenarios in France[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,239:316-330
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