globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0180.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000461473700001
论文题名:
Response of Extreme Precipitation to Urbanization over the Netherlands
作者: Golroudbary, Vahid Rahimpour; Zeng, Yijian; Mannaerts, Chris M.; Su, Zhongbo (Bob)
通讯作者: Golroudbary, Vahid Rahimpour
刊名: JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 1558-8424
EISSN: 1558-8432
出版年: 2019
卷: 58, 期:4, 页码:645-661
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Extreme events ; Precipitation ; Temperature ; Statistical techniques
WOS关键词: FUTURE CHANGES ; URBAN IMPACTS ; FLOOD RISK ; LAND-USE ; TEMPERATURE ; DURATION ; CLIMATE ; FREQUENCY ; RAINFALL ; INTENSITY
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Knowledge of the response of extreme precipitation to urbanization is essential to ensure societal preparedness for the extreme events caused by climate change. To quantify this response, this study scales extreme precipitation according to temperature using the statistical quantile regression and binning methods for 231 rain gauges during the period of 1985-2014. The positive 3%-7% scaling rates were found at most stations. The nonstationary return levels of extreme precipitation are investigated using monthly blocks of the maximum daily precipitation, considering the dependency of precipitation on the dewpoint, atmospheric air temperatures, and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index. Consideration of Coordination of Information on the Environment (CORINE) land-cover types upwind of the stations in different directions classifies stations as urban and nonurban. The return levels for the maximum daily precipitation are greater over urban stations than those over nonurban stations especially after the spring months. This discrepancy was found by 5%-7% larger values in August for all of the classified station types. Analysis of the intensity-duration-frequency curves for urban and nonurban precipitation in August reveals that the assumption of stationarity leads to the underestimation of precipitation extremes due to the sensitivity of extreme precipitation to the nonstationary condition. The study concludes that nonstationary models should be used to estimate the return levels of extreme precipitation by considering the probable covariates such as the dewpoint and atmospheric air temperatures. In addition to the external forces, such as large-scale weather modes, circulation types, and temperature changes that drive extreme precipitation, urbanization could impact extreme precipitation in the Netherlands, particularly for short-duration events.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133659
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Univ Twente, Dept Water Resources, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, Enschede, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Golroudbary, Vahid Rahimpour,Zeng, Yijian,Mannaerts, Chris M.,et al. Response of Extreme Precipitation to Urbanization over the Netherlands[J]. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,58(4):645-661
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