globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.01.034
WOS记录号: WOS:000459527800025
论文题名:
Coping with uncertainty in water management: Qualitative system analysis as a vehicle to visualize the plurality of practitioners' uncertainty handling routines
作者: Hoellermann, Britta; Evers, Mariele
通讯作者: Hoellermann, Britta
刊名: JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0301-4797
EISSN: 1095-8630
出版年: 2019
卷: 235, 页码:213-223
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Uncertainty handling ; Water management ; Science-practice gap ; Decision-making ; Expert elicitation ; Qualitative system analysis
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; INFORMATION ; ADAPTATION ; FRAMEWORK ; IGNORANCE ; DYNAMICS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Accelerated environmental and societal change and its dynamic present a challenge for water management, making it increasingly relevant to integrate uncertainties into the decision-making process. The challenge to science informing practice is how to provide scientific uncertainty information in a way that this information becomes usable for practitioners. We know that practitioners have developed routines in order to cope with uncertainties, but in order to facilitate the transfer of uncertainty information, this study analyses by whom, when and where in the decision-making process uncertainty routines are used. This research contributes to the plurality of practitioners' perspectives on decision-making under uncertainty in water management. Based on expert elicitation we show that, depending on the business unit and on the time horizon of the management object, practitioners are using different uncertainty routines and hence are in need of more tailor-made uncertainty information to inform their decision-making. Our qualitative systems modeling approach highlighting a reservoir management example serves as a boundary object visualizing the intersection of uncertainty routines and fostering cross-communication and acknowledgement of different perspectives among practitioners. It thus provides a platform for learning. Moreover, it provides a clear understanding of the uncertainty information needs which scientists may cover and increases the usability of their research findings, closing the science-practice gap in adaptive management and transformation processes.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133826
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Univ Bonn, Dept Geog, Meckenheimer Allee 166, D-53115 Bonn, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Hoellermann, Britta,Evers, Mariele. Coping with uncertainty in water management: Qualitative system analysis as a vehicle to visualize the plurality of practitioners' uncertainty handling routines[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,235:213-223
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