globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/su11082448
WOS记录号: WOS:000467752200261
论文题名:
Toxic Income as a Trigger of Climate Change
作者: Falconi, Fander1,2; Burbano, Rafael3; Ramos-Martin, Jesus4; Cango, Pedro1
通讯作者: Falconi, Fander
刊名: SUSTAINABILITY
ISSN: 2071-1050
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:8
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; CO2 emissions ; toxic income ; contraction and convergence ; Paris agreement ; intended nationally determined contributions (INDC) ; Q43 ; Q54 ; Q57
WOS关键词: ENERGY ; DECARBONIZATION ; DRIVERS ; STATES
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The rate of CO2 emissions concentration in the atmosphere increases the likelihood of significant impacts on humankind and ecosystems. The assumption that permissible levels of greenhouse gas emissions cannot exceed the global average temperature increase of 2 degrees C in relation to pre-industrial levels remains uncertain. Despite this uncertainty, the direct implication is that enormous quantities of fossil fuels have, thus far, wrongly been counted as assets by hydrocarbon firms as they cannot be exploited if we want to keep climate under certain control. These are the so-called toxic assets. Due to the relationship among CO2 emissions, GDP, energy consumption, and energy efficiency, the concept of toxic assets can be transferred to toxic income, which is the income level that would generate levels of CO2 emissions incompatible with keeping climate change under control. This research, using a simulation model based on country-based econometric models, estimated a threshold for income per capita above which the temperature limit of 2 degrees C would be surpassed. Under the business as usual scenario, average per capita income would be $14,208 (in constant 2010 USD) in 2033; and under the intervention scenario, which reflects the commitments of the COP21 meeting held in Paris in December 2015, the toxic revenue would be $13,433 (in constant 2010 USD) in 2036.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133984
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Fac Latinoamer Ciencias Sociales FLACSO, Dept Desarrollo Ambiente & Territorio, La Pradera E7-174 & Diego de Almagro, Quito 170518, Ecuador
2.Univ Nacl Educac UNAE, Parroquia Javier Loyola 030154, Canar, Ecuador
3.Escuela Politec Nacl, Dept Econ Cuantitat, Ladron de Guevara E11-253, Quito 170517, Ecuador
4.Univ Reg Amazon Ikiam, Grp Poblac & Ambiente, Via Muyuna Atacapi,Km 7, Tena 150102, Ecuador

Recommended Citation:
Falconi, Fander,Burbano, Rafael,Ramos-Martin, Jesus,et al. Toxic Income as a Trigger of Climate Change[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2019-01-01,11(8)
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