globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/su11082450
WOS记录号: WOS:000467752200263
论文题名:
Severe Drought in Finland: Modeling Effects on Water Resources and Assessing Climate Change Impacts
作者: Veijalainen, Noora1; Ahopelto, Lauri1,2; Marttunen, Mika1; Jaaskelainen, Jaakko3; Britschgi, Ritva1; Orvomaa, Mirjam1; Belinskij, Antti1; Keskinen, Marko2
通讯作者: Veijalainen, Noora
刊名: SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN: 2071-1050
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:8
语种: 英语
英文关键词: drought ; hydrological modeling ; water security ; climate change ; groundwater ; water-energy-food security nexus ; preparedness ; Finland
WOS关键词: EUROPE ; PROJECTIONS ; PRECIPITATION ; SIMULATIONS ; ENERGY ; FLOODS ; TRENDS
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Severe droughts cause substantial damage to different socio-economic sectors, and even Finland, which has abundant water resources, is not immune to their impacts. To assess the implications of a severe drought in Finland, we carried out a national scale drought impact analysis. Firstly, we simulated water levels and discharges during the severe drought of 1939-1942 (the reference drought) in present-day Finland with a hydrological model. Secondly, we estimated how climate change would alter droughts. Thirdly, we assessed the impact of drought on key water use sectors, with a focus on hydropower and water supply. The results indicate that the long-lasting reference drought caused the discharges to decrease at most by 80% compared to the average annual minimum discharges. The water levels generally fell to the lowest levels in the largest lakes in Central and South-Eastern Finland. Climate change scenarios project on average a small decrease in the lowest water levels during droughts. Severe drought would have a significant impact on water-related sectors, reducing water supply and hydropower production. In this way drought is a risk multiplier for the water-energy-food security nexus. We suggest that the resilience to droughts could be improved with region-specific drought management plans and by including droughts in existing regional preparedness exercises.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134017
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Finnish Environm Inst, Latokartanonkaari 11, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland
2.Aalto Univ, Dept Built Environm, Espoo 02015, Finland
3.Aalto Univ, Dept Mech Engn, Espoo 02015, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Veijalainen, Noora,Ahopelto, Lauri,Marttunen, Mika,et al. Severe Drought in Finland: Modeling Effects on Water Resources and Assessing Climate Change Impacts[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2019-01-01,11(8)
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