globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1819989116
WOS记录号: WOS:000463936900011
论文题名:
Effects of fossil fuel and total anthropogenic emission removal on public health and climate
作者: Lelieveld, J.1,2; Klingmueller, K.1; Pozzer, A.1; Burnett, R. T.3; Haines, A.4; Ramanathan, V.5
通讯作者: Lelieveld, J.
刊名: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2019
卷: 116, 期:15, 页码:7192-7197
语种: 英语
英文关键词: air pollution ; greenhouse gases ; health impacts ; climate change ; hydrologic cycle
WOS关键词: AMBIENT AIR-POLLUTION ; PREMATURE MORTALITY ; SAHEL DROUGHT ; GLOBAL BURDEN ; AEROSOLS ; IMPACTS ; CONSTRAINTS ; RAINFALL ; MODEL ; CO2
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols are associated with climate change and human health risks. We used a global model to estimate the climate and public health outcomes attributable to fossil fuel use, indicating the potential benefits of a phaseout. We show that it can avoid an excess mortality rate of 3.61 (2.96-4.21) million per year from outdoor air pollution worldwide. This could be up to 5.55 (4.52-6.52) million per year by additionally controlling nonfossil anthropogenic sources. Globally, fossil-fuel-related emissions account for about 65% of the excess mortality, and 70% of the climate cooling by anthropogenic aerosols. The chemical influence of air pollution on aeolian dust contributes to the aerosol cooling. Because aerosols affect the hydrologic cycle, removing the anthropogenic emissions in the model increases rainfall by 10-70% over densely populated regions in India and 10-30% over northern China, and by 10-40% over Central America, West Africa, and the droughtprone Sahel, thus contributing to water and food security. Since aerosols mask the anthropogenic rise in global temperature, removing fossil-fuel-generated particles liberates 0.51(+/- 0.03) degrees C and all pollution particles 0.73(+/- 0.03) degrees C warming, reaching around 2 degrees C over North America and Northeast Asia. The steep temperature increase from removing aerosols can be moderated to about 0.36(+/- 0.06) degrees C globally by the simultaneous reduction of tropospheric ozone and methane. We conclude that a rapid phaseout of fossil-fuel-related emissions and major reductions of other anthropogenic sources are needed to save millions of lives, restore aerosol-perturbed rainfall patterns, and limit global warming to 2 degrees C.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134168
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Max Planck Inst Chem, Dept Atmospher Chem, D-55128 Mainz, Germany
2.Cyprus Inst, Energy Environm & Water Res Ctr, CY-1645 Nicosia, Cyprus
3.Hlth Canada, Populat Studies Div, Ottawa, ON K1A 0K9, Canada
4.London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Publ Hlth, London WC1 9SH, England
5.Univ Calif San Diego, Scripps Inst Oceanog, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA

Recommended Citation:
Lelieveld, J.,Klingmueller, K.,Pozzer, A.,et al. Effects of fossil fuel and total anthropogenic emission removal on public health and climate[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2019-01-01,116(15):7192-7197
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Lelieveld, J.]'s Articles
[Klingmueller, K.]'s Articles
[Pozzer, A.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Lelieveld, J.]'s Articles
[Klingmueller, K.]'s Articles
[Pozzer, A.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Lelieveld, J.]‘s Articles
[Klingmueller, K.]‘s Articles
[Pozzer, A.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.