globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.12.127
WOS记录号: WOS:000460709800045
论文题名:
Climate change impacts on socioeconomic activities through labor productivity changes considering interactions between socioeconomic and climate systems
作者: Matsumoto, Ken'; ichi
通讯作者: Matsumoto, Ken&#39 ; ichi
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN: 0959-6526
EISSN: 1879-1786
出版年: 2019
卷: 216, 页码:528-541
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Economic activities ; Gross domestic product ; Energy supply ; Labor productivity ; Model interactions
WOS关键词: CARBON-CYCLE MODELS ; ATMOSPHERE-OCEAN ; ENERGY SECURITY ; SIMPLER MODEL ; PATHWAY ; HEALTH ; POLICY ; STABILIZATION ; EMISSIONS ; COSTS
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

While human socioeconomic activity leads to climate change, the latter also affects the former: socioeconomic and climate systems have considerable interactions. Some studies have looked at the effects of climate change on labor productivity and gross domestic product, yet they have not considered the interaction between socioeconomic and climate systems. This study therefore examined that aspect as well as the economic impact of climate-change-induced labor productivity change. Business-as-usual and two emissions reduction scenarios-2 degrees C and Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 were adopted. Data analysis employed a computable general equilibrium model and a simple climate model. The results show that global economic impacts of climate-change-induced labor productivity change have not been large. A negative effect on economic activities was found when the relationship between climate change and labor productivity was considered in the economic model. Although such impacts were larger in the business-as-usual scenario, that was not the case in the 2 degrees C scenario. The results suggest that greater levels of climate change are in accordance with greater socioeconomic impact at the global level. In particular, impact on high-temperature regions was found to be considerable. Interestingly, not all regions experienced economic loss from climate change. Some in the low- to medium temperature zones received a positive economic effect because of comparative advantage caused by differences in labor productivity changes among regions. The coupled modeling scheme ultimately was effective in evaluating the interaction. Expanded assessment of climate change, mitigation, and adaptation will aid further understanding of the interaction of climate change and socioeconomic activities. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134185
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Nagasaki Univ, Grad Sch Fisheries & Environm Sci, 1-14 Bunkyo Machi, Nagasaki 8528521, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Matsumoto, Ken',ichi. Climate change impacts on socioeconomic activities through labor productivity changes considering interactions between socioeconomic and climate systems[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2019-01-01,216:528-541
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