globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.121
WOS记录号: WOS:000457725700126
论文题名:
Freezing/thawing index variations over the circum-Arctic from 1901 to 2015 and the permafrost extent
作者: Shi, Yaya1,2; Niu, Fujun1,3; Lin, Zhanju1; Luo, Jing1
通讯作者: Niu, Fujun
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 660, 页码:1294-1305
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Circum-Arctic ; Freezing/thawing index ; M-K test method ; Permafrost extent
WOS关键词: ACTIVE-LAYER THICKNESS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; TRENDS ; CHINA ; TESTS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Due to sparse data and discontinuous time observations in the circum-Arctic region, freezing index and thawing index, as useful indicators, are widely used in permafrost distribution, climate changes and cold-region engineering analysis. However, previous researches on freezing/thawing index over this region were estimated based on mean monthly air temperature. In this paper, we analyzed the spatial and temporal variations of the freezing/thawing index over the circum-Arctic from 1901 to 2015 based on the daily datasets, besides monthly datasets. The results showed that freezing index had a downward changing trend and thawing index had an upward trend during 1901-2015. More important, the change trend in freezing/thawing index after 1988 was more significant than before. Furthermore, different freezing/thawing index based on daily datasets and the monthly datasets were assessed and compared according to daily data from 17 meteorological stations, comprehensive relative errors evaluation implied that freezing/thawing based on daily datasets was more accurate generally, although both of other datasets were available in calculating the freezing/thawing index. As the daily datasets are better in calculating annual freezing/thawing index, therefore, the permafrost extent was estimated by a climate-based predictive model combined with snow depth data from Canadian Meteorological Centre (CMC). Finally, considering that the published permafrost map of the circum-Arctic only shows the past permafrost distribution, but it cannot reflect the permafrost distribution after 2000 under the climate warming. Hence, we simulated the current (mean from 2000 to 2015) permafrost area which is 19.96 x 10(6) km(2), and the results showed some discrepancies between published and simulated permafrost extent mainly located in isolated permafrost regions. (c) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134191
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Frozen Soil Engn, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.South China Univ Technol, South China Inst Geotechn Engn, Sch Civil Engn & Transportat, Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Shi, Yaya,Niu, Fujun,Lin, Zhanju,et al. Freezing/thawing index variations over the circum-Arctic from 1901 to 2015 and the permafrost extent[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,660:1294-1305
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Shi, Yaya]'s Articles
[Niu, Fujun]'s Articles
[Lin, Zhanju]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Shi, Yaya]'s Articles
[Niu, Fujun]'s Articles
[Lin, Zhanju]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Shi, Yaya]‘s Articles
[Niu, Fujun]‘s Articles
[Lin, Zhanju]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.