globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.369
WOS记录号: WOS:000457725700155
论文题名:
Down scaling of climate change scenarii to river basin level: A transdisciplinary methodology applied to Evrotas river basin, Greece
作者: Rault, Philippe A. Ker1; Koundouri, Phoebe3,4; Akinsete, Ebun3,4; Ludwig, Ralf5; Huber-Garcia, Verena5; Tsani, Stella3,4; Acuna, Vicenc6; Kalogianni, Eleni7; Luttik, Joke2; Kok, Kasper8; Skoulikidis, Nikolaos7; Froebrich, Jochen2
通讯作者: Rault, Philippe A. Ker
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 660, 页码:1623-1632
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate-change ; Transdisciplinary ; Water management ; Ecosystem-services ; Land-use
WOS关键词: WATER ; SCARCITY ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The Mediterranean region is anticipated to be ( or, already is) one of the hot spots for climate change, where freshwater ecosystems are under threat from the effects of multiple stressors. Climate change is impacting natural resources and on the functioning of Ecosystem Services. The challenges about modelling climate change impact on water cycle in general and specifically on socio-economic dynamics of the society leads to an exponential amount of results that restrain interpretation and added value of forecasting at local level. One of the main challenges when dealing with climate change projections is the quantification of uncertainties. Modellers might have limited information or understanding from local river catchment management practices and from other disciplines with relevant insights on socio-economic and environmental complex relationship between biosphere and human based activities. Current General Circulation Models cannot fulfil the requirements of high spatial detail required for water management policy. This article reports an innovative trans disciplinary methodology to down scale Climate Change scenarii to river basin level with a special focus on the development of climate change B.narrative under SSP5-RCP8.5 combination called Myopic scenario and SSP1-RCP4.5 combination called Sustainable scenario. Local Stakeholder participative workshop in the Evrotas river basin provide perception of expected changes on water demand under to two developed scenario narratives. (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134221
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Deltares, NL-2600 MH Delft, Netherlands
2.Wageningen Environm Res, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands
3.ATHENA Res & Innovat Ctr, Athens, Greece
4.Athens Univ Econ & Business, Sch Econ, ReSEES Lab, Athens, Greece
5.Ludwig Maximilians Univ Muenchert, Luisenstr 37, D-80333 Munich, Germany
6.Catalan Inst Water Res ICRA, Girona, Spain
7.Hellen Ctr Marine Res, Inst Marine Biol Resources & Inland Waters, 46-7 Km Athinon Souniou Av,POB 712, Anavissos 190 13P, Greece
8.Wageningen Univ, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Rault, Philippe A. Ker,Koundouri, Phoebe,Akinsete, Ebun,et al. Down scaling of climate change scenarii to river basin level: A transdisciplinary methodology applied to Evrotas river basin, Greece[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,660:1623-1632
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