globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215229
WOS记录号: WOS:000464095000058
论文题名:
Climate change impact on ecosystem functions provided by birds in southeastern Amazonia
作者: Miranda, Leonardo S.1; Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera L.1; Giannini, Tereza C.1,2
通讯作者: Miranda, Leonardo S.
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:4
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; SEED DISPERSAL ; FUTURE ; UNCERTAINTIES ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; CONSERVATION ; EXTINCTION ; PATTERNS ; DEFORESTATION ; CONSEQUENCES
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Although the impacts of climate change on biodiversity are increasing worldwide, few studies have attempted to forecast these impacts on Amazon Tropical Forest. In this study, we estimated the impact of climate change on Amazonian avian assemblages considering range shifts, species loss, vulnerability of ecosystem functioning, future effectiveness of current protected areas and potential climatically stable areas for conservation actions. Species distribution modelling based on two algorithms and three different scenarios of climate change was used to forecast 501 avian species, organized on main ecosystem functions (frugivores, insectivores and nectarivores) for years 2050 and 2070. Considering the entire study area, we estimated that between 4 and 19% of the species will find no suitable habitat. Inside the currently established protected areas, species loss could be over 70%. Our results suggest that frugivores are the most sensitive guild, which could bring consequences on seed dispersal functions and on natural regeneration. Moreover, we identified the western and northern parts of the study area as climatically stable. Climate change will potentially affect avian assemblages in southeastern Amazonia with detrimental consequences to their ecosystem functions. Information provided here is essential to conservation practitioners and decision makers to help on planning their actions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134246
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Inst Tecnol Vale, Belem, Para, Brazil
2.Univ Fed Para, Belem, Para, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Miranda, Leonardo S.,Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera L.,Giannini, Tereza C.. Climate change impact on ecosystem functions provided by birds in southeastern Amazonia[J]. PLOS ONE,2019-01-01,14(4)
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