globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1477-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000464358800002
论文题名:
Fldgen v1.0: an emulator with internal variability and space-time correlation for Earth system models
作者: Link, Robert1; Snyder, Abigail1; Lynch, Cary2; Hartin, Corinne1; Kravitz, Ben3,4; Bond-Lamberty, Ben1
通讯作者: Link, Robert
刊名: GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT
ISSN: 1991-959X
EISSN: 1991-9603
出版年: 2019
卷: 12, 期:4, 页码:1477-1489
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY ; IMPACTS
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

Earth system models (ESMs) are the gold standard for producing future projections of climate change, but running them is difficult and costly, and thus researchers are generally limited to a small selection of scenarios. This paper presents a technique for detailed emulation of the Earth system model (ESM) temperature output, based on the construction of a deterministic model for the mean response to global temperature. The residuals between the mean response and the ESM output temperature fields are used to construct variability fields that are added to the mean response to produce the final product. The method produces grid-level output with spatially and temporally coherent variability. Output fields include random components, so the system may be run as many times as necessary to produce large ensembles of fields for applications that require them. We describe the method, show example outputs, and present statistical verification that it reproduces the ESM properties it is intended to capture. This method, available as an open-source R package, should be useful in the study of climate variability and its contribution to uncertainties in the interactions between human and Earth systems.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134252
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Joint Global Change Res Inst, Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, 5825 Univ Res Ct, College Pk, MD 20740 USA
2.Connecticut Dept Energy & Environm Protect, 10 Franklin Sq, New Britain, CT USA
3.Indiana Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, 1001 E 10th St, Bloomington, IN USA
4.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Atmospher Sci & Global Change Div, 902 Battelle Blvd, Richland, WA 99352 USA

Recommended Citation:
Link, Robert,Snyder, Abigail,Lynch, Cary,et al. Fldgen v1.0: an emulator with internal variability and space-time correlation for Earth system models[J]. GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT,2019-01-01,12(4):1477-1489
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Link, Robert]'s Articles
[Snyder, Abigail]'s Articles
[Lynch, Cary]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Link, Robert]'s Articles
[Snyder, Abigail]'s Articles
[Lynch, Cary]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Link, Robert]‘s Articles
[Snyder, Abigail]‘s Articles
[Lynch, Cary]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.