globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1080/13563467.2019.1598964
WOS记录号: WOS:000466007000001
论文题名:
Is Green Growth Possible?
作者: Hickel, Jason1; Kallis, Giorgos2,3
通讯作者: Hickel, Jason
刊名: NEW POLITICAL ECONOMY
ISSN: 1356-3467
EISSN: 1469-9923
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Sustainable development ; ecological economics ; green growth ; degrowth ; decoupling
WOS关键词: NEGATIVE EMISSIONS ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; BIOMASS ; TARGET
WOS学科分类: Economics ; International Relations ; Political Science
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics ; International Relations ; Government & Law
英文摘要:

The notion of green growth has emerged as a dominant policy response to climate change and ecological breakdown. Green growth theory asserts that continued economic expansion is compatible with our planet's ecology, as technological change and substitution will allow us to absolutely decouple GDP growth from resource use and carbon emissions. This claim is now assumed in national and international policy, including in the Sustainable Development Goals. But empirical evidence on resource use and carbon emissions does not support green growth theory. Examining relevant studies on historical trends and model-based projections, we find that: (1) there is no empirical evidence that absolute decoupling from resource use can be achieved on a global scale against a background of continued economic growth, and (2) absolute decoupling from carbon emissions is highly unlikely to be achieved at a rate rapid enough to prevent global warming over 1.5 degrees C or 2 degrees C, even under optimistic policy conditions. We conclude that green growth is likely to be a misguided objective, and that policymakers need to look toward alternative strategies.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134267
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Goldsmiths Univ London, Anthropol, London, England
2.Univ Autonoma Barcelona, ICREA, Barcelona, Spain
3.Univ Autonoma Barcelona, ICTA UAB, Barcelona, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Hickel, Jason,Kallis, Giorgos. Is Green Growth Possible?[J]. NEW POLITICAL ECONOMY,2019-01-01
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