globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.262
WOS记录号: WOS:000468714300014
论文题名:
Forecasting household consumption of fuels: A multiple discrete-continuous approach
作者: Frontuto, Vito
通讯作者: Frontuto, Vito
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 240, 页码:205-214
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Multiple Discrete-Continuous Model ; GEV models ; Residential energy demand ; Expenditure data
WOS关键词: ENERGY-CONSUMPTION ; CONDITIONAL DEMAND ; PRICE ELASTICITY ; CONSUMER DEMAND ; CHOICE APPROACH ; ELECTRICITY ; MODEL ; METAANALYSIS ; BEHAVIOR ; AVERAGE
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

This paper uses a multiple discrete continuous extreme value (MDCEV) model with perfect and imperfect substitutes to study residential energy demand. A non-linear utility function is employed within a Kuhn-Tucker multiple-discrete economic model of consumer demand, estimated on Italian expenditure data. The simulation algorithm measures demand elasticity with respect to price variations and the marginal effects of other covariates. Results show that household energy demand (space and water heating and transportation) is relatively inelastic with respect to prices (-0.55 and -0.67, respectively), meaning that pricing policies can induce a reduction in the demand for fuels less than proportional to the price variation. The model also allows to forecast the energy demand for space and water heating within a global warming scenario: an increase of 2 degrees Celsius would lead, for example, to a reduction in household energy consumption of 4.07%.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134296
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Univ Torino, Dept Econ & Stat C De Martiis, Lunge Dora Siena 100-A, I-10153 Turin, Italy

Recommended Citation:
Frontuto, Vito. Forecasting household consumption of fuels: A multiple discrete-continuous approach[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,240:205-214
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