globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2019.02.011
WOS记录号: WOS:000463120500011
论文题名:
Multiyear weather anomalies associated with range shifts by the mountain pine beetle preceding large epidemics
作者: Sambaraju, Kishan R.1; Carroll, Allan L.2; Aukema, Brian H.3
通讯作者: Sambaraju, Kishan R.
刊名: FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0378-1127
EISSN: 1872-7042
出版年: 2019
卷: 438, 页码:86-95
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Dendroctonus ponderosae ; Hyperepidemic ; Lodgepole pine ; Latitude ; Temperature ; Drought ; Climate change
WOS关键词: DENDROCTONUS-PONDEROSAE COLEOPTERA ; WESTERN UNITED-STATES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SPATIOTEMPORAL PATTERNS ; NATURAL DISTURBANCES ; BRITISH-COLUMBIA ; LODGEPOLE PINE ; BARK BEETLES ; WATER-STRESS ; EXPANSION
WOS学科分类: Forestry
WOS研究方向: Forestry
英文摘要:

The recent range expansion of the mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae Hopk. (Coleoptera: Curculionidae), into evolutionarily native lodgepole and jack pine forests of northwestern Canada has triggered concern that continued eastward expansion through the boreal forest will threaten other pine species native to eastern North America. This unprecedented breach of a historic geoclimatic barrier was precipitated by a "hyperepidemic" west of the Rocky Mountains comprising the largest mountain pine beetle eruption in recorded history. We assessed climate-related latitudinal shifts of pre-outbreak populations of mountain pine beetle in western Canada over a 26-year period preceding the hyperepidemic, as movements of pre-outbreak populations determine, in part, the extent of subsequent outbreaks. We used digitized records of annual aerial overview surveys (1965-1979, 1986-1996) of tree-killing activity, comprising > 122,000 individual infestation polygons, and temperature and aridity data to associate trends in deviations of weather variables from historical averages with latitudinal shifts by the insect. Overall, we found that seasonal and multiyear weather phenomena such as anomalous temperature increases in a stable aridity regime, or vice-versa, and warmer-than-normal winter temperatures explained small but significant variation in northward annual range shifts after factoring out spatial and temporal variation. The numbers of discrete, tree-killing infestations increased rapidly during 1965-1979, and northward range shifts of 300 km in the early 1970s coincided with abnormally dry conditions. Mountain pine beetle populations advanced northward by 391 km from 1965 to 1996. Consistently high infestation levels of the mountain pine beetle occurred simultaneously with above-average temperatures that extended for nearly a decade immediately preceding the hyperepidemic. Climate-associated range shifts can provide gateways to rapid range expansions, and evoke concern with regard to future impacts of other bark beetle species inhabiting regions likely to experience multiyear droughts and/or temperature increases under climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/134300
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Canadian Forest Serv, Nat Resources Canada, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, 1055 PEPS,Stn St Foy, Quebec City, PQ G1V 4C7, Canada
2.Univ British Columbia, Dept Forest & Conservat Sci, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
3.Univ Minnesota, Dept Entomol, 432 Hodson Hall,1980 Folwell Ave, St Paul, MN 55118 USA

Recommended Citation:
Sambaraju, Kishan R.,Carroll, Allan L.,Aukema, Brian H.. Multiyear weather anomalies associated with range shifts by the mountain pine beetle preceding large epidemics[J]. FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,438:86-95
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