globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef8
论文题名:
Influence of El Niño Southern Oscillation on global hydropower production
作者: Jia Yi Ng; Sean W D Turner; Stefano Galelli
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2017
发表日期: 2017-03-02
卷: 12, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) strongly influences the global climate system, affecting hydrology in many of the world's river basins. This raises the prospect of ENSO-driven variability in global and regional hydroelectric power generation. Here we study these effects by generating time series of power production for 1593 hydropower dams, which collectively represent more than half of the world's existing installed hydropower capacity. The time series are generated by forcing a detailed dam model with monthly-resolution, 20th century inflows—the model includes plant specifications, storage dynamics and realistic operating schemes, and runs irrespectively of the dam construction year. More than one third of simulated dams exhibit statistically significant annual energy production anomalies in at least one of the two ENSO phases of El Niño and La Niña. For most dams, the variability of relative anomalies in power production tends to be less than that of the forcing inflows—a consequence of dam design specifications, namely maximum turbine release rate and reservoir storage, which allows inflows to accumulate for power generation in subsequent dry years. Production is affected most prominently in Northwest United States, South America, Central America, the Iberian Peninsula, Southeast Asia and Southeast Australia. When aggregated globally, positive and negative energy production anomalies effectively cancel each other out, resulting in a weak and statistically insignificant net global anomaly for both ENSO phases.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5ef8
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/13602
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: SUTD-MIT International Design Centre, 8 Somapah Rd, Singapore 487372, Singapore;Veolia City Modelling Centre, Cleantech Park, Singapore 637141, Singapore;Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.;SUTD-MIT International Design Centre, 8 Somapah Rd, Singapore 487372, Singapore;Pillar of Eng. Systems and Design, Singapore Univ. of Tech. and Design, 8 Somapah Rd, Singapore 487372, Singapore

Recommended Citation:
Jia Yi Ng,Sean W D Turner,Stefano Galelli. Influence of El Niño Southern Oscillation on global hydropower production[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2017-01-01,12(3)
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