globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2019.1607716
WOS记录号: WOS:000470469300001
论文题名:
Multilateral parametric climate risk insurance: a tool to facilitate agreement about deployment of solar geoengineering?
作者: Horton, Joshua B.1; Keith, David W.2
通讯作者: Horton, Joshua B.
刊名: CLIMATE POLICY
ISSN: 1469-3062
EISSN: 1752-7457
出版年: 2019
卷: 19, 期:7, 页码:820-826
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Solar geoengineering ; insurance and risk ; policy interactions ; integration
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies ; Public Administration
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public Administration
英文摘要:

States will disagree about deployment of solar geoengineering, technologies that would reflect a small portion of incoming sunlight to reduce risks of climate change, and most disagreements will be grounded in conflicting interests. States that object to deployment will have many options to oppose it, so states favouring deployment will have a powerful incentive to meet their objections. Objections rooted in opposition to the anticipated unequal consequences of deployment may be met through compensation, yet climate policy is inhospitable to compensation via liability. We propose that multilateral parametric climate risk insurance might be a useful tool to facilitate agreement on solar geoengineering deployment. With parametric insurance, predetermined payouts are triggered when climate indices deviate from set ranges. We suggest that states favouring deployment could underwrite reduced-rate parametric climate insurance. This mechanism would be particularly suited to resolving disagreements based on divergent judgments about the outcomes of proposed implementation. This would be especially relevant in cases where disagreements are rooted in varying levels of trust in climate model predictions of solar geoengineering effectiveness and risks. Negotiations over the pricing and terms of a parametric risk pool would make divergent judgments explicit and quantitative. Reduced-rate insurance would provide a way for states that favour implementation to demonstrate their confidence in solar geoengineering by underwriting risk transfer and ensuring compensation without the need for attribution. This would offer a powerful incentive for states opposing implementation to moderate their opposition. Key policy insights States favouring deployment of solar geoengineering will need to address other states' objections-unilateralism is implausible in practice This might be partially achieved using parametric climate risk insurance based on objective indicators A sovereign risk pool offering reduced-rate parametric insurance underwritten by states backing deployment could facilitate cooperation on solar geoengineering deployment States favouring deployment would demonstrate their confidence in solar geoengineering by supporting the risk pool Opposing states would be insured against solar geoengineering risks and proposing states would be incentivized to guard against overconfidence


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136708
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Harvard Univ, John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci SEAS, 12 Oxford St,Link Rm 276, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
2.Harvard Univ, John A Paulson Sch Engn & Appl Sci SEAS, Harvard Kennedy Sch, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA

Recommended Citation:
Horton, Joshua B.,Keith, David W.. Multilateral parametric climate risk insurance: a tool to facilitate agreement about deployment of solar geoengineering?[J]. CLIMATE POLICY,2019-01-01,19(7):820-826
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