globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000465635800002
论文题名:
Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation
作者: Spandre, Pierre1,2; Francois, Hugues1; Verfaillie, Deborah2,3; Pons, Marc4; Vernay, Matthieu2; Lafaysse, Matthieu2; George, Emmanuelle1; Morin, Samuel2
通讯作者: Morin, Samuel
刊名: CRYOSPHERE
ISSN: 1994-0416
EISSN: 1994-0424
出版年: 2019
卷: 13, 期:4, 页码:1325-1347
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: SNOW CONDITIONS ; EURO-CORDEX ; SKI RESORTS ; TRENDS ; IMPACT ; MODEL ; VULNERABILITY ; RELIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; REANALYSIS
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Climate change is increasingly regarded as a threat for winter tourism due to the combined effect of decreasing natural snow amounts and decreasing suitable periods for snowmaking. The present work investigated the snow reliability of 175 ski resorts in France (Alps and Pyrenees), Spain and Andorra under past and future conditions using state-of-the-art snowpack modelling and climate projections using Representative Concentration Pathways RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The natural snow reliability (i.e. without snowmaking) elevation showed a significant spatial variability in the reference period (1986-2005) and was shown to be highly impacted by the ongoing climate change. The reliability elevation using snowmaking is projected to rise by 200 to 300 m in the Alps and by 400 to 600 m in the Pyrenees in the near future (2030-2050) compared to the reference period for all climate scenarios. While 99 of ski lift infrastructures exhibit adequate snow reliability in the reference period when using snowmaking, a significant fraction (14 to 25 %) may be considered in a critical situation in the near future. Beyond the mid-century, climate projections highly depend on the scenario with either steady conditions compared to the near future (RCP2.6) or continuous decrease in snow reliability (RCP8.5). Under RCP8.5, our projections show that there would no longer be any snow-reliable ski resorts based on natural snow conditions in the French Alps and Pyrenees (France, Spain and Andorra) at the end of the century (2080-2100). For this time period and this scenario, only 24 resorts are projected to remain reliable with snowmaking, all being located in the Alps.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136712
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Grenoble Alpes, Irstea, UR LESSEM, Grenoble, France
2.Univ Toulouse, Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Ctr Etud Neige,Meteo France,CNRM, F-38000 Grenoble, France
3.Barcelona Supercomp Ctr, Barcelona, Spain
4.IEA, Snow & Mt Res Ctr Andorra, St Julia De Loria, Andorra

Recommended Citation:
Spandre, Pierre,Francois, Hugues,Verfaillie, Deborah,et al. Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation[J]. CRYOSPHERE,2019-01-01,13(4):1325-1347
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