globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-09736-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000465838600008
论文题名:
Water quality improvements offset the climatic debt for stream macroinvertebrates over twenty years
作者: Vaughan, Ian P.1,2,3; Gotelli, Nicholas J.3
通讯作者: Vaughan, Ian P.
刊名: NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
ISSN: 2041-1723
出版年: 2019
卷: 10
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CALIBRATION ; REGRESSION ; VARIABLES ; TRENDS ; LIMITS ; BIRDS ; LAG
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Many species are accumulating climatic debt as they fail to keep pace with increasing global temperatures. In theory, concomitant decreases in other stressors (e.g. pollution, fragmentation) could offset some warming effects, paying climatic debt with accrued environmental credit. This process may be occurring in many western European rivers. We fit a Markov chain model to similar to 20,000 macroinvertebrate samples from England and Wales, and demonstrate that despite large temperature increases 1991-2011, macroinvertebrate communities remained close to their predicted equilibrium with environmental conditions. Using a novel analysis of multiple stressors, an accumulated climatic debt of 0.64 (+/- 0.13 standard error) degrees C of warming was paid by a water-quality credit equivalent to 0.89 (+/- 0.04)degrees C of cooling. Although there is finite scope for mitigating additional climate warming in this way, water quality improvements appear to have offset recent temperature increases, and the concept of environmental credit may be a useful tool for communicating climate offsetting.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136738
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Cardiff Univ, Cardiff Sch Biosci, Cardiff CF10 3AX, S Glam, Wales
2.Cardiff Univ, Water Res Inst, Cardiff CF10 3AX, S Glam, Wales
3.Univ Vermont, Dept Biol, Burlington, VT 05405 USA

Recommended Citation:
Vaughan, Ian P.,Gotelli, Nicholas J.. Water quality improvements offset the climatic debt for stream macroinvertebrates over twenty years[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2019-01-01,10
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