globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0183.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000467851800002
论文题名:
Implications of a Climate-Changed Atmosphere on Cool-Climate Viticulture
作者: Schultze, Steven R.1; Sabbatini, Paolo2
通讯作者: Schultze, Steven R.
刊名: JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 1558-8424
EISSN: 1558-8432
出版年: 2019
卷: 58, 期:5, 页码:1141-1153
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Social Science ; North America ; Climate change ; Greenhouse gases ; Climate models ; Agriculture
WOS关键词: WINE PRODUCTION ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; FROST DAMAGE ; GRAPE ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; ADAPTATION ; PHENOLOGY ; REGIONS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The impact of anthropogenic global warming on viticulture has been thoroughly studied. However, many of the climate projections are limited by the resolution of the models that cannot resolve mesoscale weather patterns, which heavily influence grape production. In this work, data were gathered from the National Center for Atmospheric Research wherein a high-spatiotemporal-resolution (4 kmx 4 km, 1 h) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model was run from October 2000 to September 2013 over North America using observed data, and again using the atmospheric chemistry of CMIP5 ensemble mean of the RCP8.5 greenhouse gas emission scenario, creating a pseudo-global warming (PGW) model. Such models are capable of resolving the mesoscale influences that most climate models cannot. Contrasting the observed results to the PGW results allows users to compare "what happened" to "what could have happened." This analysis was applied to four cool-climate viticultural regions in the United States: two in Michigan, one in upstate New York, and one in Oregon. In the PGW run, hours exposed to extreme heat (>32 degrees C) increase by orders of magnitude. Growing season degree-day (GDD) accumulations increase between 783 and 1057 base 10 degrees C in comparing the models, while growing season average temperatures increase between 4.05 degrees and 5.53 degrees C. Precipitation patterns were also studied. The four regions would no longer classify as "cool climate" and would see growing seasons similar to some of the most productive warm-climate wine-producing regions. The authors consider the opportunities and challenges presented by the potential climate shift for cool-climate and warm-climate viticultural regions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136814
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ S Alabama, Dept Earth Sci, Dept Geog, Mobile, AL 36688 USA
2.Michigan State Univ, Dept Hort, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA

Recommended Citation:
Schultze, Steven R.,Sabbatini, Paolo. Implications of a Climate-Changed Atmosphere on Cool-Climate Viticulture[J]. JOURNAL OF APPLIED METEOROLOGY AND CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,58(5):1141-1153
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