globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/w11051090
WOS记录号: WOS:000472680400220
论文题名:
Impact Assessment of Future Climate Change on Streamflows Upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using Soil and Water Assessment Tool
作者: Nauman, Saima; Zulkafli, Zed; Bin Ghazali, Abdul Halim; Yusuf, Badronnisa
通讯作者: Nauman, Saima
刊名: WATER
ISSN: 2073-4441
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change impact ; water resources ; Haro River watershed ; Soil and Water Assessment Tool
WOS关键词: BIAS CORRECTION ; RIVER-BASIN ; RESOURCES ; MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY ; HYDROLOGY ; QUALITY
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

The study aims to evaluate the long-term changes in meteorological parameters and to quantify their impacts on water resources of the Haro River watershed located on the upstream side of Khanpur Dam in Pakistan. The climate data was obtained from the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projection (NEX-GDDP) for MIROC-ESM model under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. The model data was bias corrected and the performance of the bias correction was assessed statistically. Soil and Water Assessment Tool was used for the hydrological simulation of watershed followed by model calibration using Sequential Uncertainty Fitting version-2. The study is useful for devising strategies for future management of Khanpur Dam. The study indicated that in the future, at Murree station (P-1), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were anticipated to increase from 3.1 degrees C (RCP 4.5) to 4.0 degrees C (RCP 8.5), 3.2 degrees C (RCP 4.5) to 4.3 degrees C (RCP 8.5) and 8.6% to 13.5% respectively, in comparison to the baseline period. Similarly, at Islamabad station (P-2), the maximum temperature, minimum temperature and precipitation were projected to increase from 3.3 degrees C (RCP 4.5) to 4.1 degrees C (RCP 8.5), 3.3 degrees C (RCP 4.5) to 4.2 degrees C (RCP 8.5) and 14.0% to 21.2% respectively compared to baseline period. The streamflows at Haro River basin were expected to rise from 8.7 m(3)/s to 9.3 m(3)/s.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/136961
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Univ Putra Malaysia, Fac Engn, Dept Civil Engn, Seri Kembangan 43400, Selangor Darul, Malaysia

Recommended Citation:
Nauman, Saima,Zulkafli, Zed,Bin Ghazali, Abdul Halim,et al. Impact Assessment of Future Climate Change on Streamflows Upstream of Khanpur Dam, Pakistan using Soil and Water Assessment Tool[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(5)
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