INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL AGREEMENTS
; EMISSIONS
; MONTREAL
WOS学科分类:
Business
; Economics
; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向:
Business & Economics
; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:
How effective was the Kyoto protocol? International Environmental Agreements (IEA) have been on the rise over the past four decades; however, thus far their effectiveness is controversial. In view of the conflicting results found in the related literature, this paper addresses its effectiveness by utilizing for the first time the generalized synthetic control method (GSCM) to compare the emissions of the industrialized countries with a "No-Kyoto" counterfactual scenario that represents the expected emissions in the absence of the protocol. This method facilitates a robust comparison between treated and control countries as done by Almer and Win-kler (2017) and account for the multiple treated units as done by Grunewald and Martinez-Zarzoso (2016), so as to capture the collective nature of the protocol. Results show that the protocol was successful in reducing the emissions of the ratifying countries approximately by 7% below the emissions expected under a "No-Kyoto" scenario, confirming the importance of accounting for the collective nature of the agreement. (C) 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.