globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.577
WOS记录号: WOS:000466382600009
论文题名:
A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall
作者: Dey, Raktima1; Lewis, Sophie C.2; Arblaster, Julie M.3,4,5; Abram, Nerilie J.4,6
通讯作者: Dey, Raktima
刊名: WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 1757-7780
EISSN: 1757-7799
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Australian rainfall ; climate change ; extreme trend ; rainfall driver ; rainfall projection
WOS关键词: SOUTHERN ANNULAR MODE ; INDIAN-OCEAN DIPOLE ; MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION ; DAILY INTENSE RAINFALL ; DARLING BASIN MDB ; FUTURE CHANGES ; SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ; CLIMATE EXTREMES ; SUMMER RAINFALL ; WINTER RAINFALL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

There has been much attention given to the spatial and temporal characteristics of changes in mean and extreme rainfall over Australia during the past century. As Australia is the second driest continent on Earth, reliable projections around the trends and variability in future rainfall are crucial for policymakers and water resource management. This article comprehensively reviews the current published literature on trends in Australia's rainfall from pre-instrumental and instrumental records, the climatic drivers of Australia's rainfall variability, attribution of the long-term trends, extreme rainfall attribution methods with particular reference to a recent case study (2010-2012 east Australia rainfall event) and projected changes of mean and extreme rainfall over Australia during the 21st century. Notable trends in the observational record of rainfall in Australia are a decrease in mean rainfall in southwest and southeast Australia and an increase in northwest Australia since 1950. The general consensus of research into Australia's future rainfall is that mean rainfall will continue to decrease in southwest Australia in a warming world, while changes over northern and eastern Australia remain uncertain. There are still significant knowledge gaps around the causes of observed trends in rainfall both in the mean and extremes, the ability of climate models to accurately represent rainfall in the Australian region and future rainfall projections. These gaps are identified, and avenues for future research directions are proposed. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Modern Climate Change


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137153
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Australian Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia
2.Univ New South Wales, Australian Def Force Acad, Canberra, ACT, Australia
3.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
4.ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia
5.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA
6.Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Dey, Raktima,Lewis, Sophie C.,Arblaster, Julie M.,et al. A review of past and projected changes in Australia's rainfall[J]. WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,10(3)
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