globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2727
WOS记录号: WOS:000474063600037
论文题名:
Knowing your limits: estimating range boundaries and co-occurrence zones for two competing plethodontid salamanders
作者: Amburgey, S. M.1,2; Miller, D. A. W.1; Brand, A.3; Dietrich, A.4; Grant, E. H. Campbell3
通讯作者: Amburgey, S. M.
刊名: ECOSPHERE
ISSN: 2150-8925
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: conditional autoregressive models ; conditional occupancy ; detection probability ; joint species distribution model ; range limit ; red-backed salamander ; Shenandoah salamander
WOS关键词: FACTOR INFLUENCING DISTRIBUTIONS ; BIOTIC INTERACTIONS INFLUENCE ; ESTIMATING SITE OCCUPANCY ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ; SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS ; DYNAMICS ; HABITAT ; EXTINCTION
WOS学科分类: Ecology
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Understanding threats to species persistence requires knowledge of where species currently occur. We explore methods for estimating two important facets of species distributions, namely where the range limit occurs and how species interactions structure distributions. Accurate understanding of range limits is crucial for predicting range dynamics and shifts in response to interspecific interactions and climate change. Additionally, species interactions are increasingly recognized as an important but not well-understood predictor of range shifts. Our objective was to predict range limits and contact zones for two plethodontid salamanders, the highly range-restricted Shenandoah salamander (Plethodon shenandoah) and the wide-ranging red-backed salamander (Plethodon cinereus). Using detection/non-detection data, we assess four methodological decisions when estimating species' distributions: (1) accounting for imperfect detection, (2) covariates to predict species occurrences, (3) accounting for species interactions, and (4) the inclusion of spatial autocorrelation. We found that Shenandoah salamander and red-backed salamander co-occurrence would have been underestimated and the range edge misidentified had we not accounted for incomplete detection. Covariates related to habitat were not sufficient to explain species' range boundaries. Models that included spatial autocorrelation (i.e., a conditional autoregressive random effect) performed better than models that included just species interactions (i.e., detection and occurrence were conditional on the other species being present) and models that included both spatial autocorrelation and species interactions. Further, we found that the breadth of primary contact zones was typically 60-170 m, which is greater on average than previous estimates. In addition, we frequently observed secondary, disjunct contact zones along the range boundary. Understanding the extent to which species co-occur and how the range boundaries are shaped is crucial to conservation efforts. Our work indicates that accounting for detection is crucial for accurately characterizing range edges and that spatial models may be especially effective in modeling distributions at the boundary.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137335
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Penn State Univ, Dept Ecosyst Sci & Management, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
2.Penn State Univ, Intercoll Grad Ecol Program, University Pk, PA 16802 USA
3.SO Conte Anadromous Fish Res Ctr, USGS Patuxent Wildlife Res Ctr, Turners Falls, MA 01376 USA
4.USGS Patuxent Wildlife Res Ctr, Laurel, MD 20708 USA

Recommended Citation:
Amburgey, S. M.,Miller, D. A. W.,Brand, A.,et al. Knowing your limits: estimating range boundaries and co-occurrence zones for two competing plethodontid salamanders[J]. ECOSPHERE,2019-01-01,10(5)
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