globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10050229
WOS记录号: WOS:000472677600003
论文题名:
Climate Change Projections of Extreme Temperatures for the Iberian Peninsula
作者: Viceto, Carolina1; Pereira, Susana Cardoso; Rocha, Alfredo
通讯作者: Viceto, Carolina
刊名: ATMOSPHERE
ISSN: 2073-4433
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; extreme temperatures ; heat waves ; cold spells ; Iberian Peninsula ; bias correction ; WRF
WOS关键词: BIAS CORRECTION ; HEAT WAVES ; DAILY PRECIPITATION ; MODEL SIMULATIONS ; BOUNDARY-LAYER ; INDEXES ; EVENTS ; WRF ; ENSEMBLE ; CMIP5
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The comprehensive characterization of heat waves and extreme hot days is fundamental for policymakers due to its vast implications for human health. This study evaluates extreme temperature changes over the Iberian Peninsula for the present climate and future projections, considering extreme temperature indices, cold/heat waves, and a recovery factor, using the Weather Research and Forecasting model. The projected temperatures show an increase of over 6 degrees C. An increase in the number of summer days and tropical nights and a decrease in frost days is expected. The number of heat waves and their duration and intensity are expected to increase. The number of heat wave days are expected to increase, with much of the average summer season being under heat wave conditions. The recovery factor is expected to decrease. Cold spells are projected to decrease in terms of number, intensity, duration, and number of spell days, whereas the recovery factor is expected to increase. Heat wave analysis was combined with maximum temperature thresholds to isolate extreme heat waves. The results show an increase in extreme heat wave days, with regions experiencing over 10 heat wave days with maximum temperature surpassing 45 degrees C for the long-term future.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137348
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Aveiro, Dept Phys, Campus Univ Santiago, P-3810093 Aveiro, Portugal
2.Univ Aveiro, Ctr Environm & Marine Studies CESAM, Campus Univ Santiago, P-3810093 Aveiro, Portugal

Recommended Citation:
Viceto, Carolina,Pereira, Susana Cardoso,Rocha, Alfredo. Climate Change Projections of Extreme Temperatures for the Iberian Peninsula[J]. ATMOSPHERE,2019-01-01,10(5)
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