globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1111/geb.12880
WOS记录号: WOS:000465964000006
论文题名:
Alternative tree-cover states of the boreal ecosystem: A conceptual model
作者: Abis, Beniamino1,2; Brovkin, Victor1
通讯作者: Abis, Beniamino
刊名: GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY
ISSN: 1466-822X
EISSN: 1466-8238
出版年: 2019
卷: 28, 期:5, 页码:612-627
语种: 英语
英文关键词: alternative stable states ; boreal forest ; climate change ; conceptual model ; ecosystem shifts ; greening trends ; multistability ; tree cover
WOS关键词: STABLE STATES ; ENVIRONMENTAL-FACTORS ; ECOLOGICAL PROCESSES ; FOREST RESILIENCE ; PERMAFROST THAW ; TIPPING POINTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FIRE ; VEGETATION ; SUCCESSION
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography
英文摘要:

Aim Previous analyses of remotely sensed data detected the multimodality of the tree-cover distribution of the boreal forest, and identified areas with potentially alternative tree-cover states. This paper aims at investigating the causes of multimodality and multistability of the boreal forest, their influence on the asymmetric tree species distribution between Eurasia and North America, and whether multistability could be associated with recent greening trends in leaf area index (LAI) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Location Eurasian and North American boreal forests. Time period 2000-2010. Major taxa studied Boreal forest plant functional types. Methods We employ a conceptual model based on tree species competition to simulate the sensitivity of tree cover to stochastic disturbances and to changes in environmental factors. We include different plant functional types based on survival adaptations, and force the model with remotely sensed environmental data. We analyse the model as a dynamical system. We use metrics from statistics and information theory to compare the detection of alternative tree-cover states and greening trends in LAI and NDVI. Results We find that multimodality and multistability can emerge through competition between different plant functional types. Additionally, our model is able to reproduce the asymmetry in tree species distribution between Eurasia and North America. Moreover, changes in permafrost distribution can be associated with phenomenological bifurcation points of the model. Finally, we find that the detection of multistable areas is not affected by recent vegetation trends, whereas shifts between alternative states could have affected the greening trends. Main conclusions Tree-cover multistability in the boreal region can emerge through competition between species subject to periodic disturbances. Changes in permafrost thaw and distribution could be responsible for the asymmetry in tree species distribution between North America and Eurasia. Climate change and permafrost degradation could cause shifts in tree-cover states and dominant species. Recent vegetation greening trends in multistable areas could have been affected by shifts between alternative states.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137535
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Bundesstr 53, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
2.Int Max Planck Res Sch Earth Syst Modelling, Hamburg, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Abis, Beniamino,Brovkin, Victor. Alternative tree-cover states of the boreal ecosystem: A conceptual model[J]. GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND BIOGEOGRAPHY,2019-01-01,28(5):612-627
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