globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s12517-019-4454-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000468296900001
论文题名:
Spatial-temporal trend analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall (1966-2015) using innovative trend analysis method with significance test
作者: Malik, Anurag1; Kumar, Anil1; Guhathakurta, Pulak2; Kisi, Ozgur3
通讯作者: Kisi, Ozgur
刊名: ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES
ISSN: 1866-7511
EISSN: 1866-7538
出版年: 2019
卷: 12, 期:10
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Innovative trend analysis with significance test ; Mann-Kendall ; Rainfall ; Thiessen polygon ; Uttarakhand
WOS关键词: SPATIOTEMPORAL TRENDS ; FRAMEWORK MODEL ; MANN-KENDALL ; TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION ; BASIN ; RIVER ; CHINA
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

This study investigates the spatial and temporal patterns of trends on seasonal (pre-monsoon, monsoon, post-monsoon, and winter) and annual rainfall time series data (1966-2015) at 13 stations located in the central Himalayan region of the Uttarakhand State of India. The temporal trend was analyzed using recently proposed innovative trend analysis (ITA) method with significance test. The results of the ITA method were compared with the Mann-Kendall (MK) test at 5% significance level. The spatial variation of the trends in seasonal and annual rainfall series was interpolated using the Thiessen polygon (TP) method in ArcGIS 10.2 environment. The results of comparison revealed that the trend detected by MK test (significantly positive in 3-time series and significantly negative in 6-time series) can be effectively identified using ITA (significantly positive in 19-time series and significantly negative in 32-time series). The ITA method could detect some trends that cannot be observed by the MK test. According to the spatial distribution of MK test, significantly increasing (decreasing) trends were observed in 1 (0), 1 (2), 0 (1), 1 (1), and 1 (1) polygons in pre-monsoon, monsoon, post-monsoon, winter, and annual rainfall data, while the ITA method detected significant trends in 3 (7), 6 (5), 1 (9), 4 (5), and 5 (6) polygons in the study region. The developed maps of spatial variability of rainfall trends may help the stakeholders and/or water resource managers to figure out the risk and vulnerability related to climate change in the study region.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137561
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.GB Pant Univ Agr & Technol, Dept Soil & Water Conservat Engn, Coll Technol, Pantnagar 263145, Uttarakhand, India
2.IMD, Pune 411005, Maharashtra, India
3.Ilia State Univ, Fac Nat Sci & Engn, GE-0162 Tbilisi, Georgia

Recommended Citation:
Malik, Anurag,Kumar, Anil,Guhathakurta, Pulak,et al. Spatial-temporal trend analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall (1966-2015) using innovative trend analysis method with significance test[J]. ARABIAN JOURNAL OF GEOSCIENCES,2019-01-01,12(10)
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