globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.01.009
WOS记录号: WOS:000462693700014
论文题名:
Tropical storms and mortality under climate change
作者: Pugatch, Todd
通讯作者: Pugatch, Todd
刊名: WORLD DEVELOPMENT
ISSN: 0305-750X
出版年: 2019
卷: 117, 页码:172-182
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Tropical storms ; Tropical cyclones ; Hurricanes Natural disasters ; Human mortality ; Human health ; Climate change ; Developing countries ; Latin America ; Mexico
WOS关键词: HUMAN HEALTH ; NATURAL DISASTER ; HURRICANE ; IMPACT ; INTENSITY ; CYCLONES ; TEMPERATURE ; FATALITIES ; ECONOMICS ; INCREASE
WOS学科分类: Development Studies ; Economics
WOS研究方向: Development Studies ; Business & Economics
英文摘要:

Extreme weather induced by climate change can have major consequences for human health. In this study, I quantify the effect of tropical storm frequency and severity on mortality using objective meteorological data and the universe of vital statistics records from a large developing country, Mexico. Using a measure of storm exposure that accounts for both windspeed dispersion and population density along the storm track, I project changes in past storm-related mortality under various scenarios of continued climate change, while holding population and income at contemporaneous levels. I find that storm related deaths would have risen under most climate change scenarios considered, with increases of as much as 52% or declines of as much as 10%, depending on the interplay between increasing storm severity and decreased frequency. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137815
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Oregon State Univ, Corvallis, OR 97331 USA

Recommended Citation:
Pugatch, Todd. Tropical storms and mortality under climate change[J]. WORLD DEVELOPMENT,2019-01-01,117:172-182
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