globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1093/jme/tjz002
WOS记录号: WOS:000482879500034
论文题名:
Short-term Forecasting of Daily Abundance of West Nile Virus Vectors Culex pipiens-restuans (Diptera: Culicidae) and Aedes vexans Based on Weather Conditions in Southern Quebec (Canada)
作者: Ripoche, Marion1,2; Campagna, Celine3,4; Ludwig, Antoinette2,5; Ogden, Nicholas H.2,5; Leighton, Patrick A.1,2
通讯作者: Ripoche, Marion
刊名: JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY
ISSN: 0022-2585
EISSN: 1938-2928
出版年: 2019
卷: 56, 期:3, 页码:859-872
语种: 英语
英文关键词: mosquito abundance ; temperature ; precipitation ; larvicide ; habitat
WOS关键词: AMERICAN MOSQUITOS DIPTERA ; BRIDGE VECTOR ; OVARIAN DIAPAUSE ; TARSALIS DIPTERA ; RISK-ASSESSMENT ; SAGINAW COUNTY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LOS-ANGELES ; TRANSMISSION ; POPULATIONS
WOS学科分类: Entomology ; Veterinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Entomology ; Veterinary Sciences
英文摘要:

Since 2002, human cases of West Nile virus (WNV) have occurred every year in southern Canada, but WNV risk remains challenging to predict. Here, we explored the ability of weather-based forecasting models to predict the seasonal abundance of two WNV vector species (Culex pipiens-restuans and Aedes vexans) in Quebec, Canada, and explored the importance of accounting for larvicide use and local habitat (forest park vs residential garden). A gamma-generalized linear model predicting mosquito abundance was developed based on an approach previously used in Ontario combining temperature and precipitation during the days preceding mosquito captures. This model was calibrated and validated for each species with independent entomological datasets from the Montreal region collected in 2013 and 2014. Culex pipiens-restuans abundance was associated with mean degree days (dd; > 9 degrees C) over the 22 d before mosquito capture and with mean precipitation over the 71 d before capture; Ae. vexans abundance with the mean dd (> 12 degrees C) over the 24 d before capture and mean precipitation over the 30 d before capture. These results are consistent with temperature effects on immature development rates and adult activity, and effects of precipitation on the abundance and suitability of breeding sites. Taking into account larvicide use and habitat significantly improved the predictions. This study provides evidence that weather conditions can yield robust short-term predictions of the regional daily mosquito abundance, particularly when accounting for local variation in habitat or mosquito control efforts, and may provide real-time indicators of WNV or other mosquito-borne disease risks during the summer.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137935
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Montreal, Dept Pathol & Microbiol, Fac Vet Med, 3200 Rue Sicotte, St Hyacinthe, PQ J2S 2M2, Canada
2.Univ Montreal, Grp Rech Epidemiol Zoonoses & Sante Publ GREZOSP, Fac Vet Med, 3200 Rue Sicotte, St Hyacinthe, PQ J2S 2M2, Canada
3.Inst Natl Sante Publ Quebec, Direct Sante Environm & Toxicol, 945 Ave Wolfe, Quebec City, PQ G1V 5B3, Canada
4.Univ Laval, Fac Med, Dept Med Sociale & Prevent, 1050 Ave Med, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada
5.Publ Hlth Agcy Canada, Publ Hlth Risk Sci Div, Natl Microbiol, 3200 Rue Sicotte, St Hyacinthe, PQ J2S 2M2, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Ripoche, Marion,Campagna, Celine,Ludwig, Antoinette,et al. Short-term Forecasting of Daily Abundance of West Nile Virus Vectors Culex pipiens-restuans (Diptera: Culicidae) and Aedes vexans Based on Weather Conditions in Southern Quebec (Canada)[J]. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY,2019-01-01,56(3):859-872
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Ripoche, Marion]'s Articles
[Campagna, Celine]'s Articles
[Ludwig, Antoinette]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Ripoche, Marion]'s Articles
[Campagna, Celine]'s Articles
[Ludwig, Antoinette]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Ripoche, Marion]‘s Articles
[Campagna, Celine]‘s Articles
[Ludwig, Antoinette]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.