globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-018-1822-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000467802200009
论文题名:
Aviation Turbulence: Dynamics, Forecasting, and Response to Climate Change
作者: Storer, Luke N.1; Williams, Paul D.1; Gill, Philip G.2
通讯作者: Storer, Luke N.
刊名: PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS
ISSN: 0033-4553
EISSN: 1420-9136
出版年: 2019
卷: 176, 期:5, 页码:2081-2095
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLEAR-AIR TURBULENCE ; UPPER-LEVEL TURBULENCE ; INERTIA-GRAVITY WAVES ; GENERATION MECHANISMS ; SPONTANEOUS IMBALANCE ; BREAKING ; SHEAR ; CONVECTION ; MESOSCALE ; FLOW
WOS学科分类: Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS研究方向: Geochemistry & Geophysics
英文摘要:

Atmospheric turbulence is a major hazard in the aviation industry and can cause injuries to passengers and crew. Understanding the physical and dynamical generation mechanisms of turbulence aids with the development of new forecasting algorithms and, therefore, reduces the impact that it has on the aviation industry. The scope of this paper is to review the dynamics of aviation turbulence, its response to climate change, and current forecasting methods at the cruising altitude of aircraft. Aviation-affecting turbulence comes from three main sources: vertical wind shear instabilities, convection, and mountain waves. Understanding these features helps researchers to develop better turbulence diagnostics. Recent research suggests that turbulence will increase in frequency and strength with climate change, and therefore, turbulence forecasting may become more important in the future. The current methods of forecasting are unable to predict every turbulence event, and research is ongoing to find the best solution to this problem by combining turbulence predictors and using ensemble forecasts to increase skill. The skill of operational turbulence forecasts has increased steadily over recent decades, mirroring improvements in our understanding. However, more work is neededideally in collaboration with the aviation industryto improve observations and increase forecast skill, to help maintain and enhance aviation safety standards in the future.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/137986
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6BB, Berks, England
2.Met Off, FitzRoy Rd, Exeter EX1 3PB, Devon, England

Recommended Citation:
Storer, Luke N.,Williams, Paul D.,Gill, Philip G.. Aviation Turbulence: Dynamics, Forecasting, and Response to Climate Change[J]. PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS,2019-01-01,176(5):2081-2095
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