globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab0cd0
WOS记录号: WOS:000466900800001
论文题名:
The El Nino impact on maize yields is amplified in lower income teleconnected countries
作者: Ubilava, David; Abdolrahimi, Maryam
通讯作者: Ubilava, David
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:5
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate econometrics ; El Nino Southern oscillation ; global maize yields ; panel smooth transition regression
WOS关键词: SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; NUISANCE PARAMETER ; ECONOMIC-GROWTH ; ENSO ; VARIABILITY ; PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE ; EVENTS ; ANOMALIES ; RAINFALL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

We use a multiple-regime panel smooth transition regression to examine the economic and climatic sources of the nonuniform relationship between El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and maize yields around the globe. While the yield effect is predominantly observed in strongly teleconnected countries, it is amplified in lower income countries, which we attribute to possible lack of resilience to ENSO-induced weather shocks. Both El Nino-like and La Nina-like conditions result in maize yield reduction, but it is during El Nino events when maize yields drop by up to 20% in most affected countries. Because in many of these countries maize is an important agricultural crop, the presented results are of interest to researchers and policy makers in the areas of world nutrition and international aid. Moreover, because larger share of maize is produced by high income weakly teleconnected countries, the observed geographic heterogeneity of the El Nino impact offers possible benefits from global risk sharing. These findings also offer insights to climate change economics, as possible increased frequency of the ENSO cycle may negatively impact maize production in strongly teleconnected low income countries.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138056
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作者单位: Univ Sydney, Sch Econ, Sydney, NSW, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Ubilava, David,Abdolrahimi, Maryam. The El Nino impact on maize yields is amplified in lower income teleconnected countries[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(5)
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