globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-43243-1
WOS记录号: WOS:000466504100029
论文题名:
Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases
作者: Duchesne, Louis1; Houle, Daniel1,2; Ouimet, Rock1; Caldwell, Liam3; Gloor, Manuel3; Brienen, Roel3
通讯作者: Duchesne, Louis
刊名: SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN: 2045-2322
出版年: 2019
卷: 9
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: REGIONAL CURVE STANDARDIZATION ; CLIMATE ; TRENDS ; AGE ; 20TH-CENTURY ; HISTORY ; MODEL ; ABIES ; PINE
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Tree rings are thought to be a powerful tool to reconstruct historical growth changes and have been widely used to assess tree responses to global warming. Demographic inferences suggest, however, that typical sampling procedures induce spurious trends in growth reconstructions. Here we use the world's largest single tree-ring dataset (283,536 trees from 136,621 sites) from Quebec, Canada, to assess to what extent growth reconstructions based on these - and thus any similar - data might be affected by this problem. Indeed, straightforward growth rate reconstructions based on these data suggest a six-fold increase in radial growth of black spruce (Picea mariana) from similar to 0.5 mm yr(-1) in 1800 to similar to 2.5 mm yr(-1) in 1990. While the strong correlation (R-2 = 0.98) between this increase and that of atmospheric CO2 could suggest a causal relationship, we here unambiguously demonstrate that this growth trend is an artefact of sampling biases caused by the absence of old, fast-growing trees (cf. "slow-grower survivorship bias") and of young, slow-growing trees (cf. "big-tree selection bias") in the dataset. At the moment, we cannot envision how to remedy the issue of incomplete representation of cohorts in existing large-scale tree-ring datasets. Thus, innovation will be needed before such datasets can be used for growth rate reconstructions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138087
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作者单位: 1.Minist Forets Faune & Parcs, Direct Rech Forestiere, 2700 Einstein St, Quebec City, PQ G1P 3W8, Canada
2.Consortium Reg Climatol & Adaptat Climate Change, 550 Sherbrooke St West, Montreal, PQ H3A 1B9, Canada
3.Univ Leeds, Sch Geog, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England

Recommended Citation:
Duchesne, Louis,Houle, Daniel,Ouimet, Rock,et al. Large apparent growth increases in boreal forests inferred from tree-rings are an artefact of sampling biases[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2019-01-01,9
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