globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16101696
WOS记录号: WOS:000470967500030
论文题名:
Association between Weather Types based on the Spatial Synoptic Classification and All-Cause Mortality in Sweden, 1991-2014
作者: Fonseca-Rodriguez, Osvaldo1,2; Lundevaller, Erling Haggstrom2; Sheridan, Scott C.3; Schumann, Barbara1,2
通讯作者: Fonseca-Rodriguez, Osvaldo
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
ISSN: 1660-4601
出版年: 2019
卷: 16, 期:10
语种: 英语
英文关键词: all-cause mortality ; Spatial Synoptic Classification ; oppressive weather types ; distributed lag non-linear models ; Sweden
WOS关键词: HEAT-RELATED MORTALITY ; AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; WINTER MORTALITY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; COLD ; IMPACTS ; MORBIDITY ; CITIES ; WAVES ; DISPLACEMENT
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
英文摘要:

Much is known about the adverse health impact of high and low temperatures. The Spatial Synoptic Classification is a useful tool for assessing weather effects on health because it considers the combined effect of meteorological factors rather than temperature only. The aim of this study was to assess the association between oppressive weather types and daily total mortality in Sweden. Time-series Poisson regression with distributed lags was used to assess the relationship between oppressive weather (Dry Polar, Dry Tropical, Moist Polar, and Moist Tropical) and daily deaths over 14 days in the extended summer (May to September), and 28 days during the extended winter (November to March), from 1991 to 2014. Days not classified as oppressive weather served as the reference category. We computed relative risks with 95% confidence intervals, adjusting for trends and seasonality. Results of the southern (Skane and Stockholm) and northern (Jamtland and Vasterbotten) locations were pooled using meta-analysis for regional-level estimates. Analyses were performed using the dlnm and mvmeta packages in R. During summer, in the South, the Moist Tropical and Dry Tropical weather types increased the mortality at lag 0 through lag 3 and lag 6, respectively. Moist Polar weather was associated with mortality at longer lags. In the North, Dry Tropical weather increased the mortality at shorter lags. During winter, in the South, Dry Polar and Moist Polar weather increased mortality from lag 6 to lag 10 and from lag 19 to lag 26, respectively. No effect of oppressive weather was found in the North. The effect of oppressive weather types in Sweden varies across seasons and regions. In the North, a small study sample reduces precision of estimates, while in the South, the effect of oppressive weather types is more evident in both seasons.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138126
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Umea Univ, Dept Epidemiol & Global Hlth, S-90187 Umea, Sweden
2.Umea Univ, Ctr Demog & Ageing Res, S-90187 Umea, Sweden
3.Kent State Univ, Dept Geog, Kent, OH 44242 USA

Recommended Citation:
Fonseca-Rodriguez, Osvaldo,Lundevaller, Erling Haggstrom,Sheridan, Scott C.,et al. Association between Weather Types based on the Spatial Synoptic Classification and All-Cause Mortality in Sweden, 1991-2014[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH,2019-01-01,16(10)
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