The health co-benefits of CO2 mitigation can provide a strong incentive for climate policy through reductions in air pollutant emissions that occur when targeting shared sources. However, reducing air pollutant emissions may also have an important co-harm, as the aerosols they form produce net cooling overall. Nevertheless, aerosol impacts have not been fully incorporated into cost-benefit modeling that estimates how much the world should optimally mitigate. Here we find that when both co-benefits and co-harms are taken fully into account, optimal climate policy results in immediate net benefits globally, overturning previous findings from cost-benefit models that omit these effects. The global health benefits from climate policy could reach trillions of dollars annually, but will importantly depend on the air quality policies that nations adopt independently of climate change. Depending on how society values better health, economically optimal levels of mitigation may be consistent with a target of 2 degrees C or lower.
1.Emory Univ, Rollins Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Environm Hlth, 1518 Clifton Rd NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA 2.Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Robertson Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA 3.Univ Vermont, Gund Inst Environm, Burlington, VT 05310 USA 4.Univ Vermont, Dept Philosophy, Burlington, VT 05310 USA 5.Harvard Univ, Edmond J Safra Ctr Eth, 124 Mt Auburn St, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA 6.Yale NUS Coll, Social Sci Econ, Singapore 138610, Singapore 7.Ctr Adv Study Behav Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA 8.Univ Calif Berkeley, Energy & Resources Grp, 310 Barrows Hall, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA 9.Princeton Univ, Univ Ctr Human Values, 304 Louis Marx Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA 10.Penn State Univ, Sch Int Affairs, University Pk, PA 16801 USA 11.Penn State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, University Pk, PA 16801 USA 12.Princeton Univ, Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn, Olden St, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA 13.Univ Texas Austin, Dept Econ, 2225 Speedway, Austin, TX 78712 USA 14.Indian Stat Inst, Econ & Planning Unit, Delhi Ctr, 7 SJS Sansawal Marg, New Delhi 110016, India 15.IZA Inst Lab Econ, Schaumburg Lippe Str 5-9, D-53113 Bonn, Germany 16.Inst Futures Studies, Hollandargatan 13, Stockholm, Sweden 17.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria 18.Princeton Univ, Andlinger Ctr Energy & Environm, 86 Olden St, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
Recommended Citation:
Scovronick, Noah,Budolfson, Mark,Dennig, Francis,et al. The impact of human health co-benefits on evaluations of global climate policy[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2019-01-01,10