globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0216540
WOS记录号: WOS:000467552100060
论文题名:
Bird community shifts associated with saltwater exposure in coastal forests at the leading edge of rising sea level
作者: Taillie, Paul J.; Moorman, Christopher E.; Smart, Lindsey S.; Pacifici, Krishna
通讯作者: Taillie, Paul J.
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:5
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE ; POTENTIAL IMPACTS ; HABITAT USE ; RISE ; FIRE ; WETLANDS ; FLORIDA ; SOUTH ; CONSERVATION ; SELECTION
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Rising sea levels dramatically alter the vegetation composition and structure of coastal ecosystems. However, the implications of these changes for coastal wildlife are poorly understood. We aimed to quantify responses of avian communities to forest change (i.e., ghost forests) in a low-lying coastal region highly vulnerable to rising sea level. We conducted point counts to sample avian communities at 156 forested points in eastern North Carolina, USA in 2013-2015. We modelled avian community composition using a multi-species hierarchical occupancy model and used metrics of vegetation structure derived from Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data as covariates related to variation in bird responses. We used this model to predict occupancy for each bird species in 2001 (using an analogous 2001 LiDAR dataset) and 2014 and used the change in occupancy probability to estimate habitat losses and gains at 3 spatial extents: 1) the entire study area, 2) burned forests only, and 3) unburned, low-lying coastal forests only. Of the 56 bird species we investigated, we observed parameter estimates corresponding to a higher likelihood of occurring in ghost forest for 34 species, but only 9 of those had 95% posterior intervals that did not overlap 0, thus having strong support. Despite the high vulnerability of forests in the region to sea level rise, habitat losses and gains associated with rising sea level were small relative to those resulting from wildfire. Though the extent of habitat changes associated with the development of ghost forest was limited, these changes likely are more permanent and may compound over time as sea level rises at an increasing rate. As such, the proliferation of ghost forests from rising sea level has potential to become an important driver of forest bird habitat change in coastal regions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138247
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作者单位: North Carolina State Univ, Forestry & Environm Resources Dept, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA

Recommended Citation:
Taillie, Paul J.,Moorman, Christopher E.,Smart, Lindsey S.,et al. Bird community shifts associated with saltwater exposure in coastal forests at the leading edge of rising sea level[J]. PLOS ONE,2019-01-01,14(5)
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