globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.03.019
WOS记录号: WOS:000470045800052
论文题名:
Holistic multi-criteria decision analysis evaluation of sustainable electric generation portfolios: New England case study
作者: Nock, Destenie; Baker, Erin
通讯作者: Nock, Destenie
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 242, 页码:655-673
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Multi-criteria decision analysis ; Sustainability ; Nuclear ; Renewable energy ; Levelized cost of electricity ; Life cycle assessment
WOS关键词: NUCLEAR ; POWER
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

Designing policies to achieve a more sustainable electricity system requires policy-makers to weigh different electricity futures against a wide range of societal, economic, environmental, and technical implications. There is controversy on multiple fronts, as no technology satisfies all the demands of sustainability. Moreover, electricity systems include combinations of interacting technologies, meaning it is not enough to analyze technologies individually. We present a methodology for evaluating the sustainability of a region's electric generation portfolio, using multi-criteria decision analysis. Our framework focuses on long-term capacity planning for resource adequacy and sustainability. We used a regional electricity model and pay close attention to controversies involving offshore wind, natural gas pipelines, and the retirement of nuclear plants. We evaluate a set of generation portfolios under nine illustrative stakeholder preference scenarios across seven sustainability metrics. We find that under many stakeholder preferences, increasing offshore wind from 1.6 to 10 GW and eliminating oil generation scores well. If stakeholders are concerned about the full range of sustainability metrics - including costs, climate change, pollution, land-use, jobs, and safety alongside water conservation and nuclear concerns - then the most sustainable solution is to increase nuclear (to 9.2 GW from 3.5) alongside wind, and back them up with base levels of natural gas and hydro (18.7 and 3.3 GW respectively).


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138373
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Univ Massachusetts Amherst, Amherst, MA 01003 USA

Recommended Citation:
Nock, Destenie,Baker, Erin. Holistic multi-criteria decision analysis evaluation of sustainable electric generation portfolios: New England case study[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,242:655-673
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