globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.5194/esurf-7-429-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000468073100001
论文题名:
Relationships between regional coastal land cover distributions and elevation reveal data uncertainty in a sea-level rise impacts model
作者: Lentz, Erika E.1; Plant, Nathaniel G.2; Thieler, E. Robert1
通讯作者: Lentz, Erika E.
刊名: EARTH SURFACE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 2196-6311
EISSN: 2196-632X
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:2, 页码:429-438
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EAST-COAST ; CLASSIFICATION ; PROJECTIONS ; INUNDATION ; SURFACE
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

Understanding land loss or resilience in response to sea-level rise (SLR) requires spatially extensive and continuous datasets to capture landscape variability. We investigate the sensitivity and skill of a model that predicts dynamic response likelihood to SLR across the northeastern US by exploring several data inputs and outcomes. Using elevation and land cover datasets, we determine where data error is likely, quantify its effect on predictions, and evaluate its influence on prediction confidence. Results show data error is concentrated in low-lying areas with little impact on prediction skill, as the inherent correlation between the datasets can be exploited to reduce data uncertainty using Bayesian inference. This suggests the approach may be extended to regions with limited data availability and/or poor quality. Furthermore, we verify that model sensitivity in these first-order landscape change assessments is well-matched to larger coastal process uncertainties, for which process-based models are important complements to further reduce uncertainty.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138388
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.US Geol Survey, Woods Hole Coastal & Marine Sci Ctr, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
2.US Geol Survey, St Petersburg Coastal & Marine Sci Ctr, St Petersburg, FL 33701 USA

Recommended Citation:
Lentz, Erika E.,Plant, Nathaniel G.,Thieler, E. Robert. Relationships between regional coastal land cover distributions and elevation reveal data uncertainty in a sea-level rise impacts model[J]. EARTH SURFACE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,7(2):429-438
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