globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.02.018
WOS记录号: WOS:000464298900008
论文题名:
A multi-scale calibration approach for process-oriented aggregated building energy demand models
作者: Taylor, Z. Todd; Xie, Yulong; Burleyson, Casey D.; Voisin, Nathalie; Kraucunas, Ian
通讯作者: Taylor, Z. Todd
刊名: ENERGY AND BUILDINGS
ISSN: 0378-7788
EISSN: 1872-6178
出版年: 2019
卷: 191, 页码:82-94
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Aggregate building energy modeling ; BEND ; EnergyPlus ; EIA ; Calibration ; WECC
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ELECTRICITY DEMAND ; SIMULATION ; IMPACTS ; GENERATION ; POPULATION ; US
WOS学科分类: Construction & Building Technology ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Civil
WOS研究方向: Construction & Building Technology ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

Long-term energy planning relies largely on projections of future energy demand and hourly load profiles. Aggregate building models are increasingly being utilized to characterize the sensitivity of current and future building stocks to changes in climate, population, and building technology on city-to-regionalto-national scales. Due to challenges in the availability of data, those analyses have been limited to projection of energy demand at a single scale, usually state or country, while long-term planning power system models and production cost models might operate at different spatial scales such as energy regions which are focused on ensuring adequate generation infrastructure. We propose and evaluate a novel method to calibrate an aggregate building energy demand model (PNNL's BEND model) against the best available data at the spatial scale of balancing authorities. This approach extends previous work on aggregated building energy demand by facilitating analysis of building energy demand across scales, in particular policy and operational decision-making scales. We show that the bias-corrected model estimates building electric loads reasonably well compared with estimates from a statistical model, but has the additional feature of flexibility across spatial scales. While the calibration approach is presently U.S.-centric and associated with U.S. energy regions, it can be extrapolated to other worldwide regions with similar scale challenges between policy and operational implementation decision making. We discuss the significant challenges involved in formulating and calibrating a complex physical model based on simulations of roughly 100,000 individual buildings against available aggregate regional electric load data and highlight areas for potential future work and improved data collection. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138407
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, POB 999,MS K1-90, Richland, WA 99352 USA

Recommended Citation:
Taylor, Z. Todd,Xie, Yulong,Burleyson, Casey D.,et al. A multi-scale calibration approach for process-oriented aggregated building energy demand models[J]. ENERGY AND BUILDINGS,2019-01-01,191:82-94
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