globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.103
WOS记录号: WOS:000460628600007
论文题名:
BRIC and MINT countries' environmental impacts rising despite alleviative consumption patterns
作者: Scherer, Laura1; de Koning, Arjan1; Tukker, Arnold1,2
通讯作者: Scherer, Laura
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 665, 页码:52-60
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Demand-side projections ; Household consumption ; Land degradation ; Multi-regional input-output analysis ; Water scarcity
WOS关键词: STRUCTURAL DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS ; GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION ; ENERGY-REQUIREMENTS ; CARBON EMISSIONS ; TRADE-OFFS ; DRIVERS ; URBANIZATION ; INDICATORS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) and MINT countries (Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, Turkey) shifted the economic weight from developed to emerging countries. They will continue to grow rapidly by population and gross domestic product (GDP), which could also imply environmental changes. We use the environmentally extended multi-regional input-output database EXIOBASE in a consumption-based approach to assess carbon, land, and water footprints of four income groups within each of these emerging economies in 2050 compared to our base year 2010. We estimate that consumption changes make environmental impacts increase by a factor of 1.6 (for Russia's water footprint) to a factor of 7.0 (for Nigeria's carbon footprint). This rise is mostly driven by GDP growth, but often also by population growth. Changes in consumption patterns due to income growth, however, attenuate the effect. The attenuation appeared to be much stronger for water (for India and Indonesia over 50%) than for land or carbon footprints. It is hence important that forward-looking modelling exercises account for different income categories and related expenditure patterns. The results further indicate howmuch our technologies must improve to compensate for impact increases induced by rising consumption. To cope with that, not only established economies, but also some BRIC and MINT countries, especially Russia and China, must increase their efforts towards environmental sustainability. (c) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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被引频次[WOS]:20   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138435
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Leiden Univ, Inst Environm Sci CML, POB 9518, NL-2300 RA Leiden, Netherlands
2.Netherlands Org Appl Sci Res TNO, The Hague, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Scherer, Laura,de Koning, Arjan,Tukker, Arnold. BRIC and MINT countries' environmental impacts rising despite alleviative consumption patterns[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,665:52-60
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