globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1080/11263504.2019.1610109
WOS记录号: WOS:000471390300001
论文题名:
Allowing for human socioeconomic impacts in the conservation of plants under climate change
作者: Kaky, Emad1,2,3; Gilbert, Francis1
通讯作者: Kaky, Emad
刊名: PLANT BIOSYSTEMS
ISSN: 1126-3504
EISSN: 1724-5575
出版年: 2019
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Socioeconomic impact ; conservation planning ; Egypt ; plants ; species distribution models ; Zonation
WOS关键词: BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION ; LAND-USE ; PROTECTED AREAS ; FUTURE ; PRIORITIZATION ; PREDICTIONS ; DISPERSAL ; SELECTION ; REPTILES ; NETWORK
WOS学科分类: Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向: Plant Sciences
英文摘要:

The impact of climate change on conservation planning is affected by the availability of data (especially in data-sparse countries) and socioeconomic impacts. We build models using MaxEnt for Egyptian medicinal plants as a model system, projecting them to different future times under two IPCC 4th assessment emission scenarios (A2a and B2a) assuming unlimited and no dispersal. We compare the effect of two indices of socioeconomic activity [Human Influence Index (HII) and human population density/km(2)] as cost layers in spatial prioritization for conservation using zonation. We assess the efficacy of Egypt's network of Protected Areas (PAs) by comparing the predicted conservation value inside and outside each PA under the various scenarios. The results show that there are many locations in Egypt (the main cities, agricultural land, coastal areas) that are highly ranked for conservation before human socioeconomic impacts are included. The HII had a stronger impact than using human population density. The PA value excess (inside-outside) varied significantly with the type of cost and dispersal, but not with climate-change scenario or Zonation settings. We conclude that human socioeconomic impacts add new scope and insights for future conservation; and conservation planning without consideration of such impacts cannot be complete.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138672
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Nottingham, Sch Life Sci, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
2.Sulaimani Polytech Univ, Kalar Tech Inst, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
3.Sulaimani Polytech Univ, Res Ctr, Sulaymaniyah, Iraq

Recommended Citation:
Kaky, Emad,Gilbert, Francis. Allowing for human socioeconomic impacts in the conservation of plants under climate change[J]. PLANT BIOSYSTEMS,2019-01-01
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