globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c8e
WOS记录号: WOS:000470222800001
论文题名:
Intensification of precipitation extremes in the world's humid and water-limited regions
作者: Donat, Markus G.1,2,3; Angelil, Oliver2; Ukkola, Anna M.4
通讯作者: Donat, Markus G.
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: precipitation ; extremes ; humid regions ; arid regions ; climate change ; observations ; CMIP5
WOS关键词: FUTURE CHANGES ; CMIP5 ; TEMPERATURE ; CLIMATE ; INDEXES ; DRY
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Changes in precipitation totals and extremes are among the most relevant consequences of climate change, but in particular regional changes remain uncertain. While aggregating over larger regions reduces the noise in time series and typically shows increases in the intensity of precipitation extremes, it has been argued that this may not be the case in water-limited regions. Here we investigate long-term changes in annual precipitation totals and extremes aggregated over the world's humid, transitional, and dry regions as defined by their climatological water availability. We use the globally most complete observational datasets suitable for the analysis of daily precipitation extremes, and data from global climate model simulations. We show that precipitation totals and extremes have increased in the humid regions since the mid-20th century. Conversely, despite showing tendencies to increase, no robust changes can be detected in the drier regions, in part due to the large variability of precipitation and sparse observational coverage particularly in the driest regions. Future climate simulations under increased radiative forcing indicate total precipitation increases in more humid regions but no clear changes in the more arid regions, while precipitation extremes are more likely to increase than to decrease on average over both the humid and arid regions of the world. These results highlight the increasing risk of heavy precipitation in most regions of the world, including water-limited regions, with implications for related impacts through flooding risk or soil erosion.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138849
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.BSC, Barcelona, Spain
2.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
3.Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia
4.Australian Natl Univ, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Donat, Markus G.,Angelil, Oliver,Ukkola, Anna M.. Intensification of precipitation extremes in the world's humid and water-limited regions[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(6)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Donat, Markus G.]'s Articles
[Angelil, Oliver]'s Articles
[Ukkola, Anna M.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Donat, Markus G.]'s Articles
[Angelil, Oliver]'s Articles
[Ukkola, Anna M.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Donat, Markus G.]‘s Articles
[Angelil, Oliver]‘s Articles
[Ukkola, Anna M.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.