globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.3390/jmse7060166
WOS记录号: WOS:000473807700004
论文题名:
Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea
作者: Bonaduce, Antonio1; Staneva, Joanna1; Behrens, Arno1; Bidlot, Jean-Raymond2; Wilcke, Renate Anna Irma3
通讯作者: Bonaduce, Antonio ; Staneva, Joanna
刊名: JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
EISSN: 2077-1312
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: wave climate ; climate change ; WAM ; ERA5 ; in situ data ; satellite altimetry
WOS关键词: MODEL SIMULATIONS ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; CMIP5 ; PERFORMANCE ; COASTAL ; HEIGHT ; END
WOS学科分类: Oceanography
WOS研究方向: Oceanography
英文摘要:

Wave climate change by the end of the 21st century (2075-2100) was investigated using a regional wave climate projection under the RCP 8.5 scenario. The performance of the historical run (1980-2005) in representing the present wave climate was assessed when compared with in situ (e.g., GTS) and remote sensing (i.e., Jason-1) observations and wave hindcasts (e.g., ERA5-hindcast). Compared with significant wave height observations in different subdomains, errors on the order of 20-30% were observed. A Principal Component (PC) analysis showed that the temporal leading modes obtained from in situ data were well correlated (0.9) with those from the historical run. Despite systematic differences (10%), the general features of the present wave climate were captured by the historical run. In the future climate projection, with respect to the historical run, similar wave climate change patterns were observed when considering both the mean and severe wave conditions, which were generally larger during summer. The range of variation in the projected extremes (+/- 10%) was consistent with those observed in previous studies both at the global and regional spatial scales. The most interesting feature was the projected increase in extreme wind speed, surface Stokes drift speed and significant wave height in the Northeast Atlantic. On the other hand, a decrease was observed in the North Sea and the southern part of the Baltic Sea basin, while increased extreme values occurred in the Gulf of Bothnia during winter.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138852
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht Ctr Mat & Coastal Re, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany
2.European Ctr Medium Range Weather Forecasts ECMWF, Reading RG2 9AX, Berks, England
3.SMHI, SE-60176 Norrkoping, Sweden

Recommended Citation:
Bonaduce, Antonio,Staneva, Joanna,Behrens, Arno,et al. Wave Climate Change in the North Sea and Baltic Sea[J]. JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING,2019-01-01,7(6)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Bonaduce, Antonio]'s Articles
[Staneva, Joanna]'s Articles
[Behrens, Arno]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Bonaduce, Antonio]'s Articles
[Staneva, Joanna]'s Articles
[Behrens, Arno]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Bonaduce, Antonio]‘s Articles
[Staneva, Joanna]‘s Articles
[Behrens, Arno]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.