globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1002/ecs2.2766
WOS记录号: WOS:000483221900025
论文题名:
Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills
作者: Nevalainen, Maisa1; Vanhatalo, Jarno1,2; Helle, Inari1,3
通讯作者: Nevalainen, Maisa
刊名: ECOSPHERE
ISSN: 2150-8925
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:6
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Arctic ; exposure potential ; functional group ; index ; oil spill ; sensitivity ; sensitivity analysis ; uncertainty ; vulnerability
WOS关键词: PRINCE-WILLIAM-SOUND ; MORTALITY ; IMPACTS ; UNCERTAINTY ; SENSITIVITY ; HEURISTICS ; JUDGMENT ; FISH
WOS学科分类: Ecology
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Risk of an Arctic oil spill has become a global matter of concern. Climate change induced opening of shipping routes increases the Arctic maritime traffic which exposes the area to negative impacts of potential maritime accidents. Still, quantitative analyses of the likely environmental impacts of such accidents are scarce, and our understanding of the uncertainties related to both accidents and their consequences is poor. There is an obvious need for analysis tools that allow us to systematically analyze the impacts of oil spills on Arctic species, so the risks can be taken into account when new sea routes or previously unexploited oil reserves are utilized. In this paper, an index-based approach is developed to study exposure potential (described via probability of becoming exposed to spilled oil) and sensitivity (described via oil-induced mortality and recovery) of Arctic biota in the face of an oil spill. First, a conceptual model presenting the relevant variables that contribute to exposure potential and sensitivity of key Arctic marine functional groups was built. Second, based on an extensive literature review, a probabilistic estimate was assigned for each variable, and the variables were combined to an index representing the overall vulnerability of Arctic biota. The resulting index can be used to compare the relative risk between functional groups and accident scenarios. Results indicate that birds have the highest vulnerability to spilled oil, and seals and whales the lowest. Polar bears' vulnerability varies greatly between seasons, while ice seals' vulnerability remains the same in every accident scenario. Exposure potential of most groups depends strongly on type of oil, whereas their sensitivity contains less variation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138856
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Univ Helsinki, Organismal & Evolutionary Biol Res Programme, POB 65, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland
2.Univ Helsinki, Dept Math & Stat, POB 68, FI-00014 Helsinki, Finland
3.Univ Helsinki, Helsinki Inst Sustainabil Sci HELSUS, Helsinki, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Nevalainen, Maisa,Vanhatalo, Jarno,Helle, Inari. Index-based approach for estimating vulnerability of Arctic biota to oil spills[J]. ECOSPHERE,2019-01-01,10(6)
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