globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s11442-019-1633-y
WOS记录号: WOS:000471039300001
论文题名:
Spatio-temporal patterns of drought evolution over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China
作者: Zhang, Jie1; Sun, Fubao1; Liu, Wenbin1; Liu, Jiahong2; Wang, Hong1
通讯作者: Sun, Fubao
刊名: JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES
ISSN: 1009-637X
EISSN: 1861-9568
出版年: 2019
卷: 29, 期:6, 页码:863-876
语种: 英语
英文关键词: PDSI ; spatial and temporal patterns ; sensitivity analysis ; global warming
WOS关键词: TRENDS ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE ; RIVER ; RISK
WOS学科分类: Geography, Physical
WOS研究方向: Physical Geography
英文摘要:

Spatio-temporal patterns of drought from 1961 to 2013 over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region of China were analyzed using the Palmer Drought Severity index (PDSI) based on 21 meteorological stations. Overall, changes in the mean-state of drought detected in recent decades were due to decreases in precipitation and potential evapotranspiration. The Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF) method was used to decompose drought into spatio-temporal patterns, and the first two EOF modes were analyzed. According to the first leading EOF mode (48.5%), the temporal variability (Principal Components, PC1) was highly positively correlated with annual series of PDSI (r=+0.99). The variance decomposition method was further applied to explain the inter-decadal temporal and spatial variations of drought relative to the total variation. We find that 90% of total variance was explained by time variance, and both total and time variance dramatically decreased from 1982 to 2013. The total variance was consistent with extreme climate events at the inter-decadal scale (r=0.71, p<0.01). Comparing the influence of climate change on the annual drought in two different long-term periods characterized by dramatic global warming (P1: 1961-1989 and P2: 1990-2013), we find that temperature sensitivity in the P2 was three times more than that in the P1.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/138918
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River Basin, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Jie,Sun, Fubao,Liu, Wenbin,et al. Spatio-temporal patterns of drought evolution over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES,2019-01-01,29(6):863-876
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