globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094013
论文题名:
Projected changes to South Atlantic boundary currents and confluence region in the CMIP5 models: the role of wind and deep ocean changes
作者: G M Pontes; A Sen Gupta; A S Taschetto
刊名: Environmental Research Letters
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2016
发表日期: 2016-09-14
卷: 11, 期:9
语种: 英语
英文摘要:

The South Atlantic (SA) circulation plays an important role in the oceanic teleconnections from the Indian, Pacific and Southern oceans to the North Atlantic, with inter-hemispheric exchanges of heat and salt. Here, we show that the large-scale features of the SA circulation are projected to change significantly under 'business as usual' greenhouse gas increases. Based on 19 models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5  there is a projected weakening in the upper ocean interior transport (<1000 m) between 15° and ~32°S, largely related to a weakening of the wind stress curl over this region. The reduction in ocean interior circulation is largely compensated by a decrease in the net deep southward ocean transport (>1000 m), mainly related to a decrease in the North Atlantic deep water transport. Between 30° and 40°S, there is a consistent projected intensification in the Brazil current strength of about 40% (30%–58% interquartile range) primarily compensated by an intensification of the upper interior circulation across the Indo-Atlantic basin. The Brazil–Malvinas confluence is projected to shift southwards, driven by a weakening of the Malvinas current. Such a change could have important implications for the distribution of marine species in the southwestern SA in the future.

URL: http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/9/094013
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/13909
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: School of Oceanography, State University of Rio de Janeiro (UERJ), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil;Climate Change Research Centre and Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, The University of New South Wales, Australia;Climate Change Research Centre and Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, The University of New South Wales, Australia

Recommended Citation:
G M Pontes,A Sen Gupta,A S Taschetto. Projected changes to South Atlantic boundary currents and confluence region in the CMIP5 models: the role of wind and deep ocean changes[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2016-01-01,11(9)
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