globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01690-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000467578000005
论文题名:
New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes
作者: Jin, Hongxiao1; Jonsson, Anna Maria1; Olsson, Cecilia1,2; Lindstrom, Johan3; Jonsson, Per4; Eklundh, Lars1
通讯作者: Jin, Hongxiao
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0020-7128
EISSN: 1432-1254
出版年: 2019
卷: 63, 期:6, 页码:763-775
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Plant phenology index (PPI) ; Spring phenology trend ; Climate sensitivity ; Northern European latitudes ; Remote sensing
WOS关键词: VEGETATION GREEN-UP ; GROWING-SEASON ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PLANT PHENOLOGY ; TIME-SERIES ; MODIS ; SHIFTS ; INDEX ; DATE ; RESPONSES
WOS学科分类: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS研究方向: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
英文摘要:

Recent climate warming has altered plant phenology at northern European latitudes, but conclusions regarding the spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate are still challenging as quantitative estimates are strongly diverging. To generate consistent estimates of broad-scale spatially continuous spring plant phenology at northern European latitudes (>50 degrees N) from 2000 to 2016, we used a novel vegetation index, the plant phenology index (PPI), derived from MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. To obtain realistic and strong estimates, the phenology trends and their relationships with temperature and precipitation over the past 17years were analyzed using a panel data method. We found that in the studied region the start of the growing season (SOS) has on average advanced by 0.30dayyear(-1). The SOS showed an overall advancement rate of 2.47day degrees C-1 to spring warming, and 0.18daycm(-1) to decreasing precipitation in spring. The previous winter and summer temperature had important effects on the SOS but were spatially heterogeneous. Overall, the onset of SOS was delayed 0.66day degrees C-1 by winter warming and 0.56day degrees C-1 by preceding summer warming. The precipitation in winter and summer influenced the SOS in a relatively weak and complex manner. The findings indicate rapid recent phenological changes driven by combined seasonal climates in northern Europe. Previously unknown spatial patterns of phenological change and relationships with climate drivers are presented that improve our capacity to understand and foresee future climate effects on vegetation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139103
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

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作者单位: 1.Lund Univ, Dept Phys Geog & Ecosyst Sci, SE-22362 Lund, Sweden
2.Agrolab Sverige AB, SE-24193 Eslov, Sweden
3.Lund Univ, Ctr Math Sci, Div Math Stat, SE-22100 Lund, Sweden
4.Malmo Univ, Mat Sci & Appl Math, SE-20506 Malmo, Sweden

Recommended Citation:
Jin, Hongxiao,Jonsson, Anna Maria,Olsson, Cecilia,et al. New satellite-based estimates show significant trends in spring phenology and complex sensitivities to temperature and precipitation at northern European latitudes[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,63(6):763-775
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