globalchange  > 过去全球变化的重建
DOI: 10.1029/2019WR024701
WOS记录号: WOS:000477616900014
论文题名:
Future Trends in the Interdependence Between Flood Peaks and Volumes: Hydro-Climatological Drivers and Uncertainty
作者: Brunner, Manuela I.1; Hingray, Benoit2; Zappa, Massimiliano1; Favre, Anne-Catherine2
通讯作者: Brunner, Manuela I.
刊名: WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN: 0043-1397
EISSN: 1944-7973
出版年: 2019
卷: 55, 期:6, 页码:4745-4759
语种: 英语
英文关键词: design flood estimation ; climate change ; hydrological modelling ; non-stationarity ; frequency analysis ; PREVAH
WOS关键词: UNGAUGED MESOSCALE CATCHMENTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; CONTINUOUS SIMULATION ; SWITZERLAND ; DEPENDENCE ; DESIGN ; PRECIPITATION ; COPULA ; TESTS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Reliable flood estimates are needed for designing safe and cost-effective flood protection structures. Classical flood estimation methods applied for deriving such estimates focus on peak discharge and neglect other important flood characteristics such as flood volume and the interdependence among different flood characteristics. Furthermore, they do not account for potential nonstationarities in hydrological time series due to climate change. The consideration of both the interdependence between peak discharge and flood volume and its nonstationarity might help us derive more reliable flood estimates. A few studies have looked at changes in the general dependence of peak discharge and flood volume for small sets of catchments and explored ways of modeling such changes. However, spatial analyses of trends in this dependence or in their climatological drivers have not been carried out. The aim of this study was to help close this knowledge gap by first quantifying trends in the general dependence between peak discharge and flood volume as described by Kendall's tau on a spatially comprehensive data set of 307 catchments in Switzerland. Second, potential climatological drivers for changes in the dependence between peak discharge and flood volume were identified. Our results show that the dependence between peak discharge and flood volume and its trends are spatially heterogeneous. This pattern cannot be explained by one driver only but by an interplay of changes in precipitation, snowmelt, and soil moisture. Both the trends and the links between drivers and trends depend on the climate model chain considered and are therefore uncertain.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/139235
Appears in Collections:过去全球变化的重建

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Swiss Fed Inst Forest Snow & Landscape Res WSL, Mt Hydrol & Mass Movements, Birmensdorf, Switzerland
2.Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP,IGE, Grenoble, France

Recommended Citation:
Brunner, Manuela I.,Hingray, Benoit,Zappa, Massimiliano,et al. Future Trends in the Interdependence Between Flood Peaks and Volumes: Hydro-Climatological Drivers and Uncertainty[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2019-01-01,55(6):4745-4759
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Brunner, Manuela I.]'s Articles
[Hingray, Benoit]'s Articles
[Zappa, Massimiliano]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Brunner, Manuela I.]'s Articles
[Hingray, Benoit]'s Articles
[Zappa, Massimiliano]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Brunner, Manuela I.]‘s Articles
[Hingray, Benoit]‘s Articles
[Zappa, Massimiliano]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.